Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kober vs Al Hilal Port Sudan — Sudani Premier League 2025

Kober
Kober
FT
1 – 0
Al Hilal Port Sudan
Al Hilal Port Sudan
5/20/2022Sudani Premier LeagueSudani Premier League · Round 17Kober Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Kober28%
×Draw33%
Al Hilal Port Sudan39%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kober
0.79
Al Hilal Port Sudan
1.00

Al Hilal Port Sudan creates 27% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 20 away

creates per match

Kober
0.69
Al Hilal Port Sudan
1.00

allows per match

Kober
1.00
Al Hilal Port Sudan
0.90

finishing

Kober+0.00on par
Al Hilal Port Sudan+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kober ↓

Al Hilal Port Sudan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–117%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–15%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (17%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
53%47%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Kober or draw
61%
Kober or Al Hilal Port Sudan
67%
Draw or Al Hilal Port Sudan
72%

Winning margin

Kober wins by 2+
9%
Al Hilal Port Sudan wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Kober 1+ goals
55%
Kober 2+ goals
19%
Kober 3+ goals
5%
Al Hilal Port Sudan 1+ goals
63%
Al Hilal Port Sudan 2+ goals
26%
Al Hilal Port Sudan 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Kober (draw refunded)
41%
Al Hilal Port Sudan (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kober at home — creates 0.69, concedes 1.00 · 13 matches

Al Hilal Port Sudan away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.90 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kober attack 0.69 + Al Hilal Port Sudan defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.79

Al Hilal Port Sudan attack 1.00 + Kober defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Kober scores more
28%
level
33%
Al Hilal Port Sudan scores more
39%

Al Hilal Port Sudan at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Al Hilal Port Sudan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Sudani Premier League: Kober 1–0 Al Hilal Port Sudan

Kober beat Al Hilal Port Sudan 1-0 in Sudani Premier League on May 20, 2022.

The match was played at Kober Stadium in Khartoum North.