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Klubi-04 vs JIPPO — Ykkösliiga 2026

Klubi-04
Klubi-04
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
JIPPO
JIPPO
L. Sahimaa 33'
E. Honkola 5'
7/11/2026YkkösliigaYkkösliiga · Group StageBolt Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Klubi-0429%
×Draw25%
JIPPO46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Klubi-04
1.21
JIPPO
1.60

JIPPO creates 32% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 34 away

creates per match

Klubi-04
1.36
JIPPO
1.56

allows per match

Klubi-04
1.64
JIPPO
1.06

finishing

Klubi-04+0.00on par
JIPPO+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Klubi-04 ↓

JIPPO →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–110%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Klubi-04 or draw
54%
Klubi-04 or JIPPO
75%
Draw or JIPPO
71%

Winning margin

Klubi-04 wins by 2+
12%
JIPPO wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Klubi-04 1+ goals
70%
Klubi-04 2+ goals
34%
Klubi-04 3+ goals
12%
JIPPO 1+ goals
80%
JIPPO 2+ goals
47%
JIPPO 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Klubi-04 (draw refunded)
38%
JIPPO (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Klubi-04 at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.64 · 22 matches

JIPPO away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.06 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Klubi-04 attack 1.36 + JIPPO defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.21

JIPPO attack 1.56 + Klubi-04 defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Klubi-04 scores more
29%
level
25%
JIPPO scores more
46%

JIPPO at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "JIPPO will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
E. Honkola↳ P. Forsman
33'
L. Sahimaa↳ M. Turunen
46'
O. Keturi← P. Forsman
46'
V. Konttas← I. Toivonen
46'
N. Kroupkin← N. Kroupkin
67'
A. Berisha← R. Hudd
67'
J. Kiuru← M. Turunen
67'
A. Tarvonen← E. Honkola
75'
T. Smith← L. Forss
85'
D. Zaberxha← A. Zaitra
85'
J. Hietalahti← J. Kari
90+2'
T. Smith

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Klubi-04 0 – 2 JIPPO

JIPPO beat Klubi-04 2-0 in Ykkösliiga on July 11, 2026.

Goals: E. Honkola (5'), L. Sahimaa (33').

The match was played at Bolt Arena in Helsinki.