Klubi-04 0–1 JIPPO: Result & Stats | Ykkönen

Klubi-04

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

JIPPO

N. Tykkyläinen 73'

7/28/2021

Ykkönen · Round 9Töölön Pallokenttä

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Klubi-0464%

×Draw21%

JIPPO15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Klubi-04Expected goals in this matchJIPPO

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.92

0.79

Klubi-04

1.92

JIPPO

0.79

Klubi-04 creates 143% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 15 away

2.24

creates per match

0.33

1.24

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Klubi-04

2.24

JIPPO

0.33

allows per match

Klubi-04

1.24

JIPPO

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Klubi-04+0.00on par

JIPPO+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Klubi-04 ↓

JIPPO →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–15%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–110%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–16%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Klubi-04 or draw

85%

Klubi-04 or JIPPO

79%

Draw or JIPPO

36%

Winning margin

Klubi-04 wins by 2+

39%

JIPPO wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Klubi-04 1+ goals

85%

Klubi-04 2+ goals

57%

Klubi-04 3+ goals

30%

JIPPO 1+ goals

55%

JIPPO 2+ goals

19%

JIPPO 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Klubi-04 (draw refunded)

81%

JIPPO (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Klubi-04 at home — creates 2.24, concedes 1.24 · 29 matches

JIPPO away — creates 0.33, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Klubi-04 attack 2.24 + JIPPO defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.92

JIPPO attack 0.33 + Klubi-04 defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Klubi-04 scores more

64%

level

21%

JIPPO scores more

15%

Klubi-04 at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Klubi-04 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44+152'

47'

W. Inalien← M. Turunen

58'

C. Terho← R. Azodo

63'

S. Holtta

65'

D. Diedounne

67'

J.

73'

N. Tykkyläinen

79'

D. Cukici← K. Wallius

90+2'

W. Inalien

90+2'

S. Kettunen← R. Kahelin

90+1'

S. Saarenkunnas← Joona Hiltunen

Klubi-04

JIPPO

22

13

2

7

4

6

8

21

⚽

Tykkyläin

14

▼

Hiltunen

25

▼

Kahelin

30

▼

45

68

53

63

▼

52

51

64

41

71

46

▼

Azodo

42

Meriluoto

Manager: M. Väyrynen

58'▲C. Terho←▼R. Azodo

79'▲D. Cukici←▼K. Wallius

Klubi-04 substitutes

67Terho73Cukici48Haapiainen58Jansson62Lehtiranta65Aaltonen78Ahlblad

Manager: J. Leppälahti

47'▲W. Inalien←▼M. Turunen

90+2'▲S. Kettunen←▼R. Kahelin

90+1'▲S. Saarenkunnas←▼Joona Hiltunen

JIPPO substitutes

10Inalien23Kettunen26Saarenkunnas3Harju5Juurinen17Niemeläinen27Kaikkonen

Match Recap: Klubi-04 vs JIPPO

JIPPO beat Klubi-04 1-0 in Ykkönen on July 28, 2021.

Goals: N. Tykkyläinen (73').

The match was played at Töölön Pallokenttä in Helsinki.

Klubi-04 vs JIPPO — Ykkönen 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Klubi-04 vs JIPPO