Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 2–0 First Vienna W

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

First Vienna W

L. Schubert 87'

A. Šišić 41'

3/22/2025

Frauenliga · Round 18Hofmann Personal Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 40+ matches

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W28%

×Draw22%

First Vienna W50%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz WExpected goals in this matchFirst Vienna W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

1.96

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

1.42

First Vienna W

1.96

First Vienna W creates 38% more chances

Season form · 40 home / 49 away

1.18

creates per match

1.94

1.98

allows per match

1.65

creates per match

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

1.18

First Vienna W

1.94

allows per match

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

1.98

First Vienna W

1.65

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W+0.00on par

First Vienna W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W ↓

First Vienna W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–17%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–05%

1–110%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–17%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W or draw

50%

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W or First Vienna W

78%

Draw or First Vienna W

72%

Winning margin

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W wins by 2+

12%

First Vienna W wins by 2+

28%

Team goals

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 1+ goals

76%

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 2+ goals

41%

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 3+ goals

17%

First Vienna W 1+ goals

86%

First Vienna W 2+ goals

58%

First Vienna W 3+ goals

31%

Draw no bet

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W (draw refunded)

36%

First Vienna W (draw refunded)

64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.98 · 40 matches

First Vienna W away — creates 1.94, concedes 1.65 · 49 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W attack 1.18 + First Vienna W defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.42

First Vienna W attack 1.94 + Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W defence 1.98 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W scores more

28%

level

22%

First Vienna W scores more

50%

First Vienna W at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "First Vienna W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

J. Cavic

41'

A. Šišić

46'

L. Falk← L. Tuschek

59'

K. Jedvaj

66'

L. Höcherl← H. Fankhauser

71'

S. Mayrhofer← E. Herbst

78'

V. Hahn← A. Amuchie

81'

L. Krinzinger

87'

L. Schubert← A. Grgić

87'

L. Schubert↳ V. Sprung

90+2'

J. Niedermayr

90+3'

Z. Weberndorfer← E. Schimm

90'

L. Daase← N. Seidl

Kleinmünchen

First

31

Schlimé

14

Kovar

16

▼

Seidl

29

Gebert

5

Čavić

8

▼

99

9

22

2

▼

Amuchie

19

▼

77

21

5

19

6

A

Sprung

32

Krinzinge

89

Jedvaj

17

⚽

Šišić

9

▼

Herbst

29

▼

Grgić

14

▼

Schimm

Manager: S. Unterberger

71'▲S. Mayrhofer←▼E. Herbst

87'▲L. Schubert←▼A. Grgić

90+3'▲Z. Weberndorfer←▼E. Schimm

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W substitutes

37Mayrhofer23Schubert76Weberndorfer91Felder79Breitwieser

Manager: M. Dobrounig

46'▲L. Falk←▼L. Tuschek

66'▲L. Höcherl←▼H. Fankhauser

78'▲V. Hahn←▼A. Amuchie

90'▲L. Daase←▼N. Seidl

First Vienna W substitutes

3Falk11Höcherl21Hahn38Daase1L.Stainko27Puck

Match Recap: Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W vs First Vienna W

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W beat First Vienna W 2-0 in Frauenliga on March 22, 2025.

Goals: A. Šišić (41'), L. Schubert (87').

The match was played at Hofmann Personal Stadion in Linz.

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W vs First Vienna W — Frauenliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W vs First Vienna W