Klaipėdos FM 0–2 Dainava: Result & Stats | Cup

Klaipėdos FM

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Dainava

C. Ellah 90'

C. Faye 34' (pen)

5/19/2026

Cup · Round of 16Klaipedos FM stadionas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Klaipėdos FM10%

×Draw14%

Dainava76%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Klaipėdos FMExpected goals in this matchDainava

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.06

3.05

Klaipėdos FM

1.06

Dainava

3.05

Dainava creates 188% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 6 away

1.29

creates per match

3.67

2.43

allows per match

0.83

creates per match

Klaipėdos FM

1.29

Dainava

3.67

allows per match

Klaipėdos FM

2.43

Dainava

0.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Klaipėdos FM+0.00on par

Dainava+0.00on par

Total goals

Over77
Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Klaipėdos FM ↓

Dainava →

0–02%

0–15%

0–28%

0–38%

0–46%

1–02%

1–16%

1–28%

1–39%

1–47%

2–01%

2–13%

2–24%

2–35%

2–43%

3–00%

3–11%

3–22%

3–32%

3–41%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–3 (9%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

91%9%2.5

77%23%3.5

57%43%4.5

37%63%

Double chance

Klaipėdos FM or draw

24%

Klaipėdos FM or Dainava

86%

Draw or Dainava

90%

Winning margin

Klaipėdos FM wins by 2+

Dainava wins by 2+

57%

Team goals

Klaipėdos FM 1+ goals

65%

Klaipėdos FM 2+ goals

29%

Klaipėdos FM 3+ goals

Dainava 1+ goals

95%

Dainava 2+ goals

80%

Dainava 3+ goals

57%

Draw no bet

Klaipėdos FM (draw refunded)

12%

Dainava (draw refunded)

88%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Klaipėdos FM at home — creates 1.29, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

Dainava away — creates 3.67, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Klaipėdos FM attack 1.29 + Dainava defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.06

Dainava attack 3.67 + Klaipėdos FM defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 3.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 76%?"

Klaipėdos FM scores more

10%

level

14%

Dainava scores more

76%

Dainava at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Dainava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

P. Zaremba

16'

A. Surblys← M. Bogdanovas

23'

P. Salcius

34'

C. FayePenalty

44'

I. Kotov

46'

J. Obi Chinonso← S. Morarenko

46'

K. Sacevicius← I. Kotov

46'

P. Cepononis← V. Shapoval

47'

G. Zabita

63'

A. Norbutas

65'

J. Rupslaukis← G. Sedvartas

65'

D. Jegeris← K. Stulpinas

68'

C. Ellah← C. Faye

69'

K. Sacevicius

78'

S. Sirutis← A. Norbutas

78'

A. Sadauskas← P. Zaremba

78'

B. Tribusinas← L. Siaudvytis

87'

87'

89'

90'

Klaipėdos

Dainava

Mickevici

Vasiliaus

Appiah

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: A. Briaunys

16'▲A. Surblys←▼M. Bogdanovas

65'▲J. Rupslaukis←▼G. Sedvartas

65'▲D. Jegeris←▼K. Stulpinas

78'▲S. Sirutis←▼A. Norbutas

78'▲A. Sadauskas←▼P. Zaremba

Klaipėdos FM substitutes

1Povilionis2Bukolis3Karavajev8Surblys19Sirutis30Sadauskas89Stulpinas44Rupslaukis34Jegeris

Manager: Sergey Kuznetsov

46'▲J. Obi Chinonso←▼S. Morarenko

46'▲K. Sacevicius←▼I. Kotov

46'▲P. Cepononis←▼V. Shapoval

68'▲C. Ellah←▼C. Faye

78'▲B. Tribusinas←▼L. Siaudvytis

Dainava substitutes

1Mykytenko3Siaudvytis8Maknevicius10Chinonso11Savchuk17Ellah19Zukauskas20Sacevicius22Tribusinas44Sabonis67Abeciunas88Cepononis

Cup: Klaipėdos FM 0–2 Dainava

Dainava beat Klaipėdos FM 2-0 in Cup on May 19, 2026.

Goals: C. Faye (34' pen), C. Ellah (90').

The match was played at Klaipedos FM stadionas in Klaipeda.

Klaipėdos FM vs Dainava — Cup 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Cup: Klaipėdos FM 0–2 Dainava