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Kladno vs Sokol Živanice — 3. liga - CFL B 2020

Kladno
Kladno
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Sokol Živanice
Sokol Živanice
4/26/20253. liga - CFL B3. liga - CFL B · ČFL B - 25Stadion Františka Kloze

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Kladno62%
×Draw20%
Sokol Živanice18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kladno
2.22
Sokol Živanice
1.10

Kladno creates 102% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 64 away

creates per match

Kladno
2.56
Sokol Živanice
1.14

allows per match

Kladno
1.06
Sokol Živanice
1.88

finishing

Kladno+0.00on par
Sokol Živanice+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kladno ↓

Sokol Živanice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Kladno or draw
82%
Kladno or Sokol Živanice
80%
Draw or Sokol Živanice
38%

Winning margin

Kladno wins by 2+
40%
Sokol Živanice wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Kladno 1+ goals
89%
Kladno 2+ goals
65%
Kladno 3+ goals
38%
Sokol Živanice 1+ goals
67%
Sokol Živanice 2+ goals
30%
Sokol Živanice 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Kladno (draw refunded)
78%
Sokol Živanice (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kladno at home — creates 2.56, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

Sokol Živanice away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.88 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kladno attack 2.56 + Sokol Živanice defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 2.22

Sokol Živanice attack 1.14 + Kladno defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Kladno scores more
62%
level
20%
Sokol Živanice scores more
18%

Kladno at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Kladno will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - CFL B: Kladno 4–0 Sokol Živanice

Kladno beat Sokol Živanice 4-0 in 3. liga - CFL B on April 26, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Františka Kloze in Kladno.