Kjelsås 2–2 Rana: Result & Stats

Kjelsås

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Rana

K. Eriksen 77'

J. Aslaksrud 22'

N. Aas 71'

S. Beyene 12'

6/8/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 9Grefsen Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Kjelsås55%

×Draw20%

Rana25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KjelsåsExpected goals in this matchRana

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

1.50

Kjelsås

2.29

Rana

1.50

Kjelsås creates 53% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 19 away

2.27

creates per match

1.63

1.37

allows per match

2.32

creates per match

Kjelsås

2.27

Rana

1.63

allows per match

Kjelsås

1.37

Rana

2.32

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kjelsås+0.00on par

Rana+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes70
No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kjelsås ↓

Rana →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

52%48%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Kjelsås or draw

75%

Kjelsås or Rana

80%

Draw or Rana

45%

Winning margin

Kjelsås wins by 2+

34%

Rana wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Kjelsås 1+ goals

90%

Kjelsås 2+ goals

66%

Kjelsås 3+ goals

40%

Rana 1+ goals

78%

Rana 2+ goals

44%

Rana 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Kjelsås (draw refunded)

69%

Rana (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

62%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kjelsås at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.37 · 70 matches

Rana away — creates 1.63, concedes 2.32 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kjelsås attack 2.27 + Rana defence 2.32 → ÷2 → 2.29

Rana attack 1.63 + Kjelsås defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Kjelsås scores more

55%

level

20%

Rana scores more

25%

Kjelsås at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Kjelsås will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

S. Beyene

22'

J. Aslaksrud

60'

K. Eriksen← P. Askengren

69'

M. Ali Alzubi← A. Mahammed

71'

N. Aas

77'

K. Eriksen

81'

M. B. Nilsskog← F. Rise

81'

S. Andreassen← H. Bordal

82'

H. Meinseth

85'

L. Hermansen

87'

B. Froysa

Kjelsås

Rana

1

Hakonsen

4

Fjelldals

5

Selliah

20

⚽

Aas

28

▼

Bordal

6

⚽

Beyene

11

Olufsen

18

Solhaug

7

▼

8

14

24

3

17

28

29

6

8

21

27

▼

Mahammed

9

⚽

Aslaksrud

19

▼

Askengren

Manager: E. Kampen

60'▲K. Eriksen←▼P. Askengren

69'▲M. Ali Alzubi←▼A. Mahammed

Kjelsås substitutes

1Brauti7Eriksen13Alzubi14Fredriksen16Ottesen18Emblem-Olsen25Sture

Manager: Ø. Valla

81'▲M. B. Nilsskog←▼F. Rise

81'▲S. Andreassen←▼H. Bordal

Rana substitutes

22Wardzala2Oie3Fossmo13Nilsskog30Andreassen

Match Recap: Kjelsås vs Rana

Kjelsås and Rana drew 2-2 in 2. Division - Group 2 on June 8, 2025.

Goals: S. Beyene (12'), J. Aslaksrud (22'), N. Aas (71'), K. Eriksen (77').

The match was played at Grefsen Stadion in Oslo.

Kjelsås vs Rana — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Kjelsås vs Rana