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Kisvarda FC vs CS Universitatea Craiova — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC
CANC
15:30
CS Universitatea Craiova
CS Universitatea Craiova
7/4/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3URKRAFT Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Kisvarda FC41%
×Draw30%
CS Universitatea Craiova28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kisvarda FC
1.13
CS Universitatea Craiova
0.88

Kisvarda FC creates 28% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 4 away

creates per match

Kisvarda FC
1.50
CS Universitatea Craiova
1.25

allows per match

Kisvarda FC
0.50
CS Universitatea Craiova
0.75

finishing

Kisvarda FC+0.00on par
CS Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kisvarda FC ↓

CS Universitatea Craiova →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–112%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Kisvarda FC or draw
72%
Kisvarda FC or CS Universitatea Craiova
70%
Draw or CS Universitatea Craiova
59%

Winning margin

Kisvarda FC wins by 2+
17%
CS Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Kisvarda FC 1+ goals
68%
Kisvarda FC 2+ goals
31%
Kisvarda FC 3+ goals
11%
CS Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
59%
CS Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
22%
CS Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Kisvarda FC (draw refunded)
59%
CS Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kisvarda FC at home — creates 1.50, concedes 0.50 · 12 matches

CS Universitatea Craiova away — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kisvarda FC attack 1.50 + CS Universitatea Craiova defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.13

CS Universitatea Craiova attack 1.25 + Kisvarda FC defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Kisvarda FC scores more
41%
level
30%
CS Universitatea Craiova scores more
28%

Kisvarda FC at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Kisvarda FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Kisvarda FC host CS Universitatea Craiova

July 4, 2022: Kisvarda FC take on CS Universitatea Craiova in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Kisvarda FC host CS Universitatea Craiova at URKRAFT Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.