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Kickers Offenbach vs Wormatia Worms — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kickers Offenbach
Kickers Offenbach
CANC
13:00
Wormatia Worms
Wormatia Worms
2/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5SANA-Sportpark Rasenplatz 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Kickers Offenbach47%
×Draw20%
Wormatia Worms32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kickers Offenbach
2.29
Wormatia Worms
1.88

Kickers Offenbach creates 22% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Kickers Offenbach
2.25
Wormatia Worms
3.00

allows per match

Kickers Offenbach
0.75
Wormatia Worms
2.33

finishing

Kickers Offenbach+0.00on par
Wormatia Worms+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kickers Offenbach ↓

Wormatia Worms →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Kickers Offenbach or draw
68%
Kickers Offenbach or Wormatia Worms
80%
Draw or Wormatia Worms
53%

Winning margin

Kickers Offenbach wins by 2+
28%
Wormatia Worms wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Kickers Offenbach 1+ goals
90%
Kickers Offenbach 2+ goals
66%
Kickers Offenbach 3+ goals
40%
Wormatia Worms 1+ goals
85%
Wormatia Worms 2+ goals
56%
Wormatia Worms 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Kickers Offenbach (draw refunded)
59%
Wormatia Worms (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kickers Offenbach at home — creates 2.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Wormatia Worms away — creates 3.00, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kickers Offenbach attack 2.25 + Wormatia Worms defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.29

Wormatia Worms attack 3.00 + Kickers Offenbach defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Kickers Offenbach scores more
47%
level
20%
Wormatia Worms scores more
32%

Kickers Offenbach at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Kickers Offenbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kickers Offenbach vs Wormatia Worms — Match Preview

Kickers Offenbach face Wormatia Worms on February 10, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Kickers Offenbach host Wormatia Worms at SANA-Sportpark Rasenplatz 3.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.