Kickers Offenbach U19 2–2 Stuttgarter K'rs U19

Kickers Offenbach U19

FT

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 0

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

G. Franco 45+1', 39'

L. Schnerring 66'

S. Djokaj 61'

4/26/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 11SANA-Sportpark Platz 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Kickers Offenbach U1946%

×Draw21%

Stuttgarter K'rs U1934%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kickers Offenbach U19Expected goals in this matchStuttgarter K'rs U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.19

1.86

Kickers Offenbach U19

2.19

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

1.86

Kickers Offenbach U19 creates 18% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 59 away

1.77

creates per match

1.27

2.46

allows per match

2.61

creates per match

Kickers Offenbach U19

1.77

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

1.27

allows per match

Kickers Offenbach U19

2.46

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

2.61

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kickers Offenbach U19+0.00on par

Stuttgarter K'rs U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over77
Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes75
No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kickers Offenbach U19 ↓

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–04%

1–17%

1–27%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–35%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

91%9%2.5

77%23%3.5

57%43%4.5

37%63%

Double chance

Kickers Offenbach U19 or draw

66%

Kickers Offenbach U19 or Stuttgarter K'rs U19

79%

Draw or Stuttgarter K'rs U19

54%

Winning margin

Kickers Offenbach U19 wins by 2+

27%

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Kickers Offenbach U19 1+ goals

89%

Kickers Offenbach U19 2+ goals

64%

Kickers Offenbach U19 3+ goals

37%

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 1+ goals

84%

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 2+ goals

55%

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 3+ goals

28%

Draw no bet

Kickers Offenbach U19 (draw refunded)

58%

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

68%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kickers Offenbach U19 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 2.46 · 48 matches

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 away — creates 1.27, concedes 2.61 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kickers Offenbach U19 attack 1.77 + Stuttgarter K'rs U19 defence 2.61 → ÷2 → 2.19

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 attack 1.27 + Kickers Offenbach U19 defence 2.46 → ÷2 → 1.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Kickers Offenbach U19 scores more

46%

level

21%

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 scores more

34%

Kickers Offenbach U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Kickers Offenbach U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

T. Tenger← T. Lennerth

39'

G. Franco

45+1'

G. Franco

46'

E. Borgia← T. Riehle

46'

M. Seeger← M. Benzinger

59'

R. Mben Bata← R. Zablotzky

61'

S. Djokaj

66'

L. Schnerring

69'

A. Pistritto← O. Yarbo

87'

B. Özcelik← M. Mehl

87'

M. Dahl← G. Franco

Kickers

Stuttgarter

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

⚽2

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. Stuppia

59'▲R. Mben Bata←▼R. Zablotzky

69'▲A. Pistritto←▼O. Yarbo

87'▲B. Özcelik←▼M. Mehl

87'▲M. Dahl←▼G. Franco

Kickers Offenbach U19 substitutes

BataPistrittoÖzcelikDahlStoehrFilipovićBouzarzar

Manager: S. Ackermann

20'▲T. Tenger←▼T. Lennerth

46'▲E. Borgia←▼T. Riehle

46'▲M. Seeger←▼M. Benzinger

Stuttgarter K'rs U19 substitutes

TengerBorgiaSeegerCamoBayerZivkovic