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Kickers Offenbach U19 vs Jahn Regensburg U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Kickers Offenbach U19
Kickers Offenbach U19
FT
2 – 3
HT: 2 – 1
Jahn Regensburg U19
Jahn Regensburg U19
C. Bah 16'
M. Mehl 10'
D. Grübler 87'
S. Zuber 51'
F. Hanula 15'
8/9/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 2SANA Sportpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 25+ matches

Kickers Offenbach U1946%
×Draw21%
Jahn Regensburg U1933%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kickers Offenbach U19
2.10
Jahn Regensburg U19
1.77

Kickers Offenbach U19 creates 19% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 25 away

creates per match

Kickers Offenbach U19
1.77
Jahn Regensburg U19
1.08

allows per match

Kickers Offenbach U19
2.46
Jahn Regensburg U19
2.44

finishing

Kickers Offenbach U19+0.00on par
Jahn Regensburg U19+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kickers Offenbach U19 ↓

Jahn Regensburg U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Kickers Offenbach U19 or draw
67%
Kickers Offenbach U19 or Jahn Regensburg U19
79%
Draw or Jahn Regensburg U19
54%

Winning margin

Kickers Offenbach U19 wins by 2+
26%
Jahn Regensburg U19 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Kickers Offenbach U19 1+ goals
88%
Kickers Offenbach U19 2+ goals
62%
Kickers Offenbach U19 3+ goals
35%
Jahn Regensburg U19 1+ goals
83%
Jahn Regensburg U19 2+ goals
53%
Jahn Regensburg U19 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Kickers Offenbach U19 (draw refunded)
58%
Jahn Regensburg U19 (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kickers Offenbach U19 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 2.46 · 48 matches

Jahn Regensburg U19 away — creates 1.08, concedes 2.44 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kickers Offenbach U19 attack 1.77 + Jahn Regensburg U19 defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.10

Jahn Regensburg U19 attack 1.08 + Kickers Offenbach U19 defence 2.46 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Kickers Offenbach U19 scores more
46%
level
21%
Jahn Regensburg U19 scores more
33%

Kickers Offenbach U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Kickers Offenbach U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'
M. Mehl
15'
F. Hanula
16'
C. Bah
51'
S. Zuber
87'
D. Grübler
Kickers
Jahn
S. Stuppia
Manager: S. Stuppia
Y. Ak
Manager: Y. Ak

U19 Bundesliga: Kickers Offenbach U19 2–3 Jahn Regensburg U19

Jahn Regensburg U19 beat Kickers Offenbach U19 3-2 in U19 Bundesliga on August 9, 2025.

Goals: M. Mehl (10'), F. Hanula (15'), C. Bah (16'), S. Zuber (51'), D. Grübler (87').

The match was played at SANA Sportpark in Offenbach.