Kickers Offenbach U19 0–3 Eintracht Frankf U19

Kickers Offenbach U19

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

Eintracht Frankf U19

L. Kleiner 89'

D. Mehičević 72', 13'

9/18/2021

U19 Bundesliga · Süd / Südwest - 4SANA-Sportpark Rasenplatz 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Kickers Offenbach U1929%

×Draw20%

Eintracht Frankf U1951%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kickers Offenbach U19Expected goals in this matchEintracht Frankf U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.79

2.37

Kickers Offenbach U19

1.79

Eintracht Frankf U19

2.37

Eintracht Frankf U19 creates 32% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 74 away

1.77

creates per match

2.28

2.46

allows per match

1.82

creates per match

Kickers Offenbach U19

1.77

Eintracht Frankf U19

2.28

allows per match

Kickers Offenbach U19

2.46

Eintracht Frankf U19

1.82

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kickers Offenbach U19+0.00on par

Eintracht Frankf U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over78
Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes75
No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kickers Offenbach U19 ↓

Eintracht Frankf U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–24%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–03%

1–17%

1–28%

1–36%

1–44%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–27%

2–36%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

92%8%2.5

78%22%3.5

59%41%4.5

39%61%

Double chance

Kickers Offenbach U19 or draw

49%

Kickers Offenbach U19 or Eintracht Frankf U19

80%

Draw or Eintracht Frankf U19

71%

Winning margin

Kickers Offenbach U19 wins by 2+

15%

Eintracht Frankf U19 wins by 2+

31%

Team goals

Kickers Offenbach U19 1+ goals

83%

Kickers Offenbach U19 2+ goals

53%

Kickers Offenbach U19 3+ goals

26%

Eintracht Frankf U19 1+ goals

91%

Eintracht Frankf U19 2+ goals

68%

Eintracht Frankf U19 3+ goals

42%

Draw no bet

Kickers Offenbach U19 (draw refunded)

37%

Eintracht Frankf U19 (draw refunded)

63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

69%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kickers Offenbach U19 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 2.46 · 48 matches

Eintracht Frankf U19 away — creates 2.28, concedes 1.82 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kickers Offenbach U19 attack 1.77 + Eintracht Frankf U19 defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.79

Eintracht Frankf U19 attack 2.28 + Kickers Offenbach U19 defence 2.46 → ÷2 → 2.37

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Kickers Offenbach U19 scores more

29%

level

20%

Eintracht Frankf U19 scores more

51%

Eintracht Frankf U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Eintracht Frankf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'

D. Mehičević

29'

N. Maksic← U. Nassery

46'

H. Ghotra← L. Hyryläinen

48'

M. Damar← A. Fóti

54'

K. Iraqi← Z. Arapi

55'

E. Zengin← N. Schywalski

61'

L. Kleiner← Fabio Gomez

72'

D. Mehičević

82'

M. Afsar← G. Schäfer

89'

L. Kleiner

Kickers

Eintracht

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: R. Trabert

29'▲N. Maksic←▼U. Nassery

54'▲K. Iraqi←▼Z. Arapi

55'▲E. Zengin←▼N. Schywalski

Kickers Offenbach U19 substitutes

MaksicIraqiZenginHagenWeiperBlockusDaaou

Manager: J. Kramny

46'▲H. Ghotra←▼L. Hyryläinen

48'▲M. Damar←▼A. Fóti

61'▲L. Kleiner←▼Fabio Gomez

82'▲M. Afsar←▼G. Schäfer

Eintracht Frankf U19 substitutes

GhotraDamarKleinerAfsarPontikouHorzKolbe

U19 Bundesliga: Kickers Offenbach U19 0–3 Eintracht Frankf U19

Eintracht Frankf U19 beat Kickers Offenbach U19 3-0 in U19 Bundesliga on September 18, 2021.

Goals: D. Mehičević (13', 72'), L. Kleiner (89').

The match was played at SANA-Sportpark Rasenplatz 3 in Offenbach am Main.

Kickers Offenbach U19 vs Eintracht Frankf U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Kickers Offenbach U19 0–3 Eintracht Frankf U19