Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kick Start vs St. Andrew Lions — Premier League 2026

Kick Start
Kick Start
FT
23 – 0
HT: 10 – 0
St. Andrew Lions
St. Andrew Lions
5/17/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 17

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Kick Start75%
×Draw13%
St. Andrew Lions12%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kick Start
3.33
St. Andrew Lions
1.29

Kick Start creates 158% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

creates per match

Kick Start
2.86
St. Andrew Lions
1.00

allows per match

Kick Start
1.57
St. Andrew Lions
3.79

finishing

Kick Start+0.00on par
St. Andrew Lions+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kick Start ↓

St. Andrew Lions →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–14%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–17%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (8%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

Kick Start or draw
88%
Kick Start or St. Andrew Lions
87%
Draw or St. Andrew Lions
25%

Winning margin

Kick Start wins by 2+
57%
St. Andrew Lions wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Kick Start 1+ goals
96%
Kick Start 2+ goals
84%
Kick Start 3+ goals
63%
St. Andrew Lions 1+ goals
72%
St. Andrew Lions 2+ goals
37%
St. Andrew Lions 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Kick Start (draw refunded)
87%
St. Andrew Lions (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kick Start at home — creates 2.86, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

St. Andrew Lions away — creates 1.00, concedes 3.79 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kick Start attack 2.86 + St. Andrew Lions defence 3.79 → ÷2 → 3.33

St. Andrew Lions attack 1.00 + Kick Start defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Kick Start scores more
75%
level
13%
St. Andrew Lions scores more
12%

Kick Start at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Kick Start will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kick Start vs St. Andrew Lions

Kick Start beat St. Andrew Lions 23-0 in Premier League on May 17, 2026.