Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Khorfakkan vs Sharjah FC — League #301 2026

Khorfakkan
Khorfakkan
FT
2 – 4
HT: 2 – 0
Sharjah FC
Sharjah FC
T. Tissoudali 32'
Aylton Boa Morte 6'
O. Camara 90+7'
Luanzinho 85', 54'
F. Ben Arbi 82'
5/22/2025League #301League #301 · Round 25Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Khorfakkan28%
×Draw23%
Sharjah FC49%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Khorfakkan
1.37
Sharjah FC
1.88

Sharjah FC creates 37% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

creates per match

Khorfakkan
1.17
Sharjah FC
1.43

allows per match

Khorfakkan
2.33
Sharjah FC
1.57

finishing

Khorfakkan+0.00on par
Sharjah FC+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Khorfakkan ↓

Sharjah FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Khorfakkan or draw
51%
Khorfakkan or Sharjah FC
77%
Draw or Sharjah FC
72%

Winning margin

Khorfakkan wins by 2+
12%
Sharjah FC wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Khorfakkan 1+ goals
75%
Khorfakkan 2+ goals
40%
Khorfakkan 3+ goals
16%
Sharjah FC 1+ goals
85%
Sharjah FC 2+ goals
56%
Sharjah FC 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Khorfakkan (draw refunded)
36%
Sharjah FC (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Khorfakkan at home — creates 1.17, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

Sharjah FC away — creates 1.43, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Khorfakkan attack 1.17 + Sharjah FC defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.37

Sharjah FC attack 1.43 + Khorfakkan defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Khorfakkan scores more
28%
level
23%
Sharjah FC scores more
49%

Sharjah FC at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Sharjah FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
F. Ben ArbiSharjah FCSharjah FC · M
8.9

Match Events

6'
Aylton Boa Morte
17'
Kyung-won Kwon
27'
Abdulla Al Karbi
32'
T. Tissoudali↳ Aylton Boa Morte
46'
F. Ben Arbi← D. Nejašmić
46'
Luanzinho← Guilherme Biro
46'
Caio Lucas← T. Conraad
54'
Luanzinho↳ F. Ben Arbi
57'
Shaheen Abdalla← Cho Yu-Min
59'
Luan PereiraGoal cancelled
62'
A. Camara← Kwon Kyung-Won
63'
Mohammed Ali Shaker← Abdullah Al Karbi
66'
Hamdan Humaid← Saeed Ahmed
66'
O. Keita← Lourency
82'
F. Ben Arbi
84'
Khalid Bawazir← A. Taarabt
85'
Luanzinho↳ F. Ben Arbi
88'
C. Doumbia← Aylton Boa Morte
90+7'
Caio
90+7'
O. Camara

Possession

33%Khorfakkan

Shots

6Khorfakkan

Pass accuracy

44%Khorfakkan

Statistics

KhorfakkanSharjah
Overview
33%Possession67%
6Total Shots11
1Corners5
14Fouls10
Shots
6Total Shots11
4On Target5
2Off Target5
0Blocked1
5Inside Box5
1Outside Box6
Passing
33%Possession67%
242Total Passes483
175Accurate Passes438
72%Pass Accuracy91%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
Discipline
14Fouls10
2Yellow Cards1

Match Recap: Khorfakkan vs Sharjah FC

Sharjah FC beat Khorfakkan 4-2 in League #301 on May 22, 2025.

Goals: Aylton Boa Morte (6'), T. Tissoudali (32'), Luanzinho (54', 85'), F. Ben Arbi (82'), O. Camara (90+7').

Sharjah FC controlled possession (67%) and registered 11 shots to 6.

The match was played at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium in Khor Fakkan.