Khan Tengri 0–0 Yelimay Semey 2 LIVE: Live Score

1. Division·2026

Khan Tengri

15'

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Yelimay Semey 2

Date: Jul 16, 2026, 2:00 PM
Tournament: 1. Division · Regular Season - 14

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Khan Tengri46%

×Draw24%

Yelimay Semey 229%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Khan TengriExpected goals in this matchYelimay Semey 2

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

1.25

Khan Tengri

1.63

Yelimay Semey 2

1.25

Khan Tengri creates 30% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 4 away

1.25

creates per match

1.00

1.50

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Khan Tengri

1.25

Yelimay Semey 2

1.00

allows per match

Khan Tengri

1.50

Yelimay Semey 2

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Khan Tengri+0.00on par

Yelimay Semey 2+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Khan Tengri ↓

Yelimay Semey 2 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Khan Tengri or draw

71%

Khan Tengri or Yelimay Semey 2

76%

Draw or Yelimay Semey 2

54%

Winning margin

Khan Tengri wins by 2+

24%

Yelimay Semey 2 wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Khan Tengri 1+ goals

80%

Khan Tengri 2+ goals

48%

Khan Tengri 3+ goals

22%

Yelimay Semey 2 1+ goals

71%

Yelimay Semey 2 2+ goals

36%

Yelimay Semey 2 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Khan Tengri (draw refunded)

61%

Yelimay Semey 2 (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Khan Tengri at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

Yelimay Semey 2 away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Khan Tengri attack 1.25 + Yelimay Semey 2 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.63

Yelimay Semey 2 attack 1.00 + Khan Tengri defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Khan Tengri scores more

46%

level

24%

Yelimay Semey 2 scores more

29%

Khan Tengri at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Khan Tengri will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff