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KFUM U19 vs Sandnes Ulf U19 — Nasjonal U19 Champions League 2021

KFUM U19
KFUM U19
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Sandnes Ulf U19
Sandnes Ulf U19
3/8/2026Nasjonal U19 Champions LeagueNasjonal U19 Champions League · Group Stage - 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

KFUM U1974%
×Draw13%
Sandnes Ulf U1913%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KFUM U19
3.83
Sandnes Ulf U19
1.67

KFUM U19 creates 129% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

KFUM U19
2.33
Sandnes Ulf U19
1.00

allows per match

KFUM U19
2.33
Sandnes Ulf U19
5.33

finishing

KFUM U19+0.00on par
Sandnes Ulf U19+0.00on par

Total goals

90%Over
  • Over90
  • Under10

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM U19 ↓

Sandnes Ulf U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–13%
1–22%
1–31%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–17%
4–26%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 71% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
97%3%2.5
90%10%3.5
78%22%4.5
60%40%

Double chance

KFUM U19 or draw
87%
KFUM U19 or Sandnes Ulf U19
87%
Draw or Sandnes Ulf U19
26%

Winning margin

KFUM U19 wins by 2+
56%
Sandnes Ulf U19 wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

KFUM U19 1+ goals
98%
KFUM U19 2+ goals
88%
KFUM U19 3+ goals
71%
Sandnes Ulf U19 1+ goals
81%
Sandnes Ulf U19 2+ goals
50%
Sandnes Ulf U19 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

KFUM U19 (draw refunded)
85%
Sandnes Ulf U19 (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
76%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM U19 at home — creates 2.33, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

Sandnes Ulf U19 away — creates 1.00, concedes 5.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM U19 attack 2.33 + Sandnes Ulf U19 defence 5.33 → ÷2 → 3.83

Sandnes Ulf U19 attack 1.00 + KFUM U19 defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

KFUM U19 scores more
74%
level
13%
Sandnes Ulf U19 scores more
13%

KFUM U19 at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "KFUM U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: KFUM U19 vs Sandnes Ulf U19

KFUM U19 beat Sandnes Ulf U19 2-0 in Nasjonal U19 Champions League on March 8, 2026.