Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

KFC Uerdingen 05 vs Bergisch Gladbach — Friendlies Clubs 2026

KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC Uerdingen 05
CANC
17:00
Bergisch Gladbach
Bergisch Gladbach
7/15/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

KFC Uerdingen 0531%
×Draw18%
Bergisch Gladbach50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KFC Uerdingen 05
2.17
Bergisch Gladbach
2.75

Bergisch Gladbach creates 27% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 6 away

creates per match

KFC Uerdingen 05
2.00
Bergisch Gladbach
2.50

allows per match

KFC Uerdingen 05
3.00
Bergisch Gladbach
2.33

finishing

KFC Uerdingen 05+0.00on par
Bergisch Gladbach+0.00on par

Total goals

86%Over
  • Over86
  • Under14

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

83%Yes
  • Yes83
  • No17

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFC Uerdingen 05 ↓

Bergisch Gladbach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–23%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–02%
1–14%
1–26%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–14%
3–25%
3–34%
3–43%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–32%
4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
86%14%3.5
72%28%4.5
53%47%

Double chance

KFC Uerdingen 05 or draw
50%
KFC Uerdingen 05 or Bergisch Gladbach
82%
Draw or Bergisch Gladbach
69%

Winning margin

KFC Uerdingen 05 wins by 2+
17%
Bergisch Gladbach wins by 2+
32%

Team goals

KFC Uerdingen 05 1+ goals
89%
KFC Uerdingen 05 2+ goals
64%
KFC Uerdingen 05 3+ goals
36%
Bergisch Gladbach 1+ goals
93%
Bergisch Gladbach 2+ goals
75%
Bergisch Gladbach 3+ goals
51%

Draw no bet

KFC Uerdingen 05 (draw refunded)
38%
Bergisch Gladbach (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
78%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFC Uerdingen 05 at home — creates 2.00, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

Bergisch Gladbach away — creates 2.50, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFC Uerdingen 05 attack 2.00 + Bergisch Gladbach defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.17

Bergisch Gladbach attack 2.50 + KFC Uerdingen 05 defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

KFC Uerdingen 05 scores more
31%
level
18%
Bergisch Gladbach scores more
50%

Bergisch Gladbach at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Bergisch Gladbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: KFC Uerdingen 05 host Bergisch Gladbach

July 15, 2022: KFC Uerdingen 05 take on Bergisch Gladbach in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

KFC Uerdingen 05 host Bergisch Gladbach at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.