Kerala Blasters 1–2 Inter Kashi: Result & Stats

Kerala Blasters

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Inter Kashi

V. Bertomeu 84'

A. Planas 78'

N. Petkevicius 34'

2/28/2026

Indian Super League · Round 3Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Kerala Blasters44%

×Draw28%

Inter Kashi28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kerala BlastersExpected goals in this matchInter Kashi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

0.99

Kerala Blasters

1.31

Inter Kashi

0.99

Kerala Blasters creates 32% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 7 away

1.36

creates per match

0.89

1.08

allows per match

1.27

creates per match

Kerala Blasters

1.36

Inter Kashi

0.89

allows per match

Kerala Blasters

1.08

Inter Kashi

1.27

-0.36scores less than expected

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

Kerala Blasters-0.36scores less

Inter Kashi-0.18scores less

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kerala Blasters ↓

Inter Kashi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Kerala Blasters or draw

72%

Kerala Blasters or Inter Kashi

72%

Draw or Inter Kashi

56%

Winning margin

Kerala Blasters wins by 2+

20%

Inter Kashi wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Kerala Blasters 1+ goals

73%

Kerala Blasters 2+ goals

38%

Kerala Blasters 3+ goals

14%

Inter Kashi 1+ goals

63%

Inter Kashi 2+ goals

26%

Inter Kashi 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Kerala Blasters (draw refunded)

61%

Inter Kashi (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kerala Blasters at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.08 · 7 matches

Inter Kashi away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.27 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kerala Blasters attack 1.36 + Inter Kashi defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.31

Inter Kashi attack 0.89 + Kerala Blasters defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Kerala Blasters scores more

44%

level

28%

Inter Kashi scores more

28%

Kerala Blasters at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Kerala Blasters will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

11

N. Petkevicius

Inter Kashi · F

8.5

Match Events

30'

Muhammed Saheef

34'

N. Petkevicius↳ A. Planas

42'

Sandip Mandi

46'

M. Roos-Trujillo← O. Bah

46'

B. Yumnam← M. Saheef

46'

Ebindas Y← D. Farooq

46'

P. Karuthadathkuni← N. Gahlot

56'

Sumeet Passi

62'

Naocha Huidrom Singh

64'

A. Muhammad← V. Mohanan

76'

K. Panicker← R. Danu

78'

J. Quitongo← M. Hernandez

78'

A. Planas↳ N. Petkevicius

84'

A. Jha← N. Petkevicius

84'

V. Bertomeu↳ Ebindas Y

88'

Marlon Roos Trujillo

90+2'

A. Khan← A. Planas

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KeralaInter

Overview

61%Possession39%

14Total Shots7

2.03Expected Goals (xG)0.46

4Corners5

12Fouls8

Shots

14Total Shots7

3On Target4

5Off Target1

6Blocked2

8Inside Box4

6Outside Box3

Passing

61%Possession39%

451Total Passes304

363Accurate Passes215

80%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls8

3Yellow Cards2

0Offsides1