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Kecskeméti TE vs BVSC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kecskeméti TE
Kecskeméti TE
CANC
13:00
BVSC
BVSC
1/6/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Széktói Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Kecskeméti TE65%
×Draw19%
BVSC16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kecskeméti TE
2.33
BVSC
1.08

Kecskeméti TE creates 116% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Kecskeméti TE
2.67
BVSC
0.67

allows per match

Kecskeméti TE
1.50
BVSC
2.00

finishing

Kecskeméti TE+0.00on par
BVSC+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kecskeméti TE ↓

BVSC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Kecskeméti TE or draw
84%
Kecskeméti TE or BVSC
81%
Draw or BVSC
35%

Winning margin

Kecskeméti TE wins by 2+
42%
BVSC wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Kecskeméti TE 1+ goals
90%
Kecskeméti TE 2+ goals
67%
Kecskeméti TE 3+ goals
41%
BVSC 1+ goals
66%
BVSC 2+ goals
29%
BVSC 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Kecskeméti TE (draw refunded)
80%
BVSC (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kecskeméti TE at home — creates 2.67, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

BVSC away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kecskeméti TE attack 2.67 + BVSC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.33

BVSC attack 0.67 + Kecskeméti TE defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Kecskeméti TE scores more
65%
level
19%
BVSC scores more
16%

Kecskeméti TE at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Kecskeméti TE will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kecskeméti TE vs BVSC — Match Preview

Kecskeméti TE face BVSC on January 6, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Kecskeméti TE host BVSC at Széktói Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.