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Kayserispor vs Artis — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kayserispor
Kayserispor
FT
3 – 2
HT: 3 – 2
Artis
Artis
G. Onugkha 15'
L. Benes 10'
C. Mane 5'
Q. Adediran 20' (pen)
V. Vukadinovic 12' (pen)
1/11/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Kayserispor46%
×Draw25%
Artis29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kayserispor
1.54
Artis
1.18

Kayserispor creates 31% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 19 away

creates per match

Kayserispor
1.33
Artis
1.68

allows per match

Kayserispor
0.67
Artis
1.74

finishing

Kayserispor+0.00on par
Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kayserispor ↓

Artis →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Kayserispor or draw
71%
Kayserispor or Artis
75%
Draw or Artis
54%

Winning margin

Kayserispor wins by 2+
23%
Artis wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Kayserispor 1+ goals
79%
Kayserispor 2+ goals
45%
Kayserispor 3+ goals
20%
Artis 1+ goals
69%
Artis 2+ goals
33%
Artis 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Kayserispor (draw refunded)
61%
Artis (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kayserispor at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Artis away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.74 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kayserispor attack 1.33 + Artis defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.54

Artis attack 1.68 + Kayserispor defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Kayserispor scores more
46%
level
25%
Artis scores more
29%

Kayserispor at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Kayserispor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
C. Mane
10'
L. Benes
12'
V. VukadinovicPenalty
15'
G. Onugkha
20'
Q. AdediranPenalty
Kayserispor
Artis
Radomir Djalovic
Manager: Radomir Djalovic
Jiri Chytry
Manager: Jiri Chytry

Match Recap: Kayserispor vs Artis

Kayserispor beat Artis 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 11, 2026.

Goals: C. Mane (5'), L. Benes (10'), V. Vukadinovic (12' pen), G. Onugkha (15'), Q. Adediran (20' pen).