Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kasetsart FC vs Mahasarakham United — Thai League 2 2018

Kasetsart FC
Kasetsart FC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Mahasarakham United
Mahasarakham United
1/24/2026Thai League 2Thai League 2 · Round 20Insee Chantarasatit Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Kasetsart FC40%
×Draw28%
Mahasarakham United33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kasetsart FC
1.27
Mahasarakham United
1.12

Kasetsart FC creates 13% more chances

Season form · 133 home / 34 away

creates per match

Kasetsart FC
1.32
Mahasarakham United
1.03

allows per match

Kasetsart FC
1.21
Mahasarakham United
1.21

finishing

Kasetsart FC+0.00on par
Mahasarakham United+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kasetsart FC ↓

Mahasarakham United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Kasetsart FC or draw
67%
Kasetsart FC or Mahasarakham United
72%
Draw or Mahasarakham United
60%

Winning margin

Kasetsart FC wins by 2+
18%
Mahasarakham United wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Kasetsart FC 1+ goals
72%
Kasetsart FC 2+ goals
36%
Kasetsart FC 3+ goals
14%
Mahasarakham United 1+ goals
67%
Mahasarakham United 2+ goals
31%
Mahasarakham United 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Kasetsart FC (draw refunded)
55%
Mahasarakham United (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kasetsart FC at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.21 · 133 matches

Mahasarakham United away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.21 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kasetsart FC attack 1.32 + Mahasarakham United defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.27

Mahasarakham United attack 1.03 + Kasetsart FC defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Kasetsart FC scores more
40%
level
28%
Mahasarakham United scores more
33%

Kasetsart FC at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Kasetsart FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kasetsart FC vs Mahasarakham United

Kasetsart FC and Mahasarakham United drew 0-0 in Thai League 2 on January 24, 2026.

The match was played at Insee Chantarasatit Stadium.