Karlsruher SC U19 0–0 Unterhaching U19

Karlsruher SC U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Unterhaching U19

11/13/2021

U19 Bundesliga · Süd / Südwest - 5Platz 2 Wildparkstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 55+ matches

Karlsruher SC U1953%

×Draw22%

Unterhaching U1925%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Karlsruher SC U19Expected goals in this matchUnterhaching U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.03

1.33

Karlsruher SC U19

2.03

Unterhaching U19

1.33

Karlsruher SC U19 creates 53% more chances

Season form · 73 home / 55 away

2.10

creates per match

1.33

allows per match

1.96

creates per match

Karlsruher SC U19

2.10

Unterhaching U19

1.33

allows per match

Karlsruher SC U19

1.33

Unterhaching U19

1.96

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Karlsruher SC U19+0.00on par

Unterhaching U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Karlsruher SC U19 ↓

Unterhaching U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Karlsruher SC U19 or draw

75%

Karlsruher SC U19 or Unterhaching U19

78%

Draw or Unterhaching U19

47%

Winning margin

Karlsruher SC U19 wins by 2+

31%

Unterhaching U19 wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Karlsruher SC U19 1+ goals

87%

Karlsruher SC U19 2+ goals

60%

Karlsruher SC U19 3+ goals

33%

Unterhaching U19 1+ goals

74%

Unterhaching U19 2+ goals

38%

Unterhaching U19 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Karlsruher SC U19 (draw refunded)

68%

Unterhaching U19 (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Karlsruher SC U19 at home — creates 2.10, concedes 1.33 · 73 matches

Unterhaching U19 away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.96 · 55 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Karlsruher SC U19 attack 2.10 + Unterhaching U19 defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 2.03

Unterhaching U19 attack 1.33 + Karlsruher SC U19 defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Karlsruher SC U19 scores more

53%

level

22%

Unterhaching U19 scores more

25%

Karlsruher SC U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Karlsruher SC U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

E. Öztürk← R. Kalici

70'

B. Fietkau← S. Marino

75'

F. Roggermeier← A. Hirtlreiter

89'

T. Freeman← R. Geller

90+3'

J. Schleich← L. Knapp

90+3'

D. Girtler← F. Roggermeier

90+5'

M. Hohmann← J. Gottmeier

Karlsruher

Unterhaching

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: R. Kettemann

46'▲E. Öztürk←▼R. Kalici

70'▲B. Fietkau←▼S. Marino

89'▲T. Freeman←▼R. Geller

90+3'▲J. Schleich←▼L. Knapp

Karlsruher SC U19 substitutes

ÖztürkFietkauFreemanSchleichEkizSouleymanéMarksteiner

Manager: S. Teichmann

75'▲F. Roggermeier←▼A. Hirtlreiter

90+3'▲D. Girtler←▼F. Roggermeier

90+5'▲M. Hohmann←▼J. Gottmeier

Unterhaching U19 substitutes

RoggermeierGirtlerHohmannHolzmeierBarakatBucher

Match Recap: Karlsruher SC U19 vs Unterhaching U19

Karlsruher SC U19 and Unterhaching U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on November 13, 2021.

The match was played at Platz 2 Wildparkstadion in Karlsruhe.

Karlsruher SC U19 vs Unterhaching U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Karlsruher SC U19 vs Unterhaching U19