Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kanchanaburi vs Trat FC — Thai League 2 2018

Kanchanaburi
Kanchanaburi
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Trat FC
Trat FC
9/1/2024Thai League 2Thai League 2 · Round 4Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Kanchanaburi47%
×Draw25%
Trat FC28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kanchanaburi
1.63
Trat FC
1.20

Kanchanaburi creates 36% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 84 away

creates per match

Kanchanaburi
1.69
Trat FC
1.20

allows per match

Kanchanaburi
1.20
Trat FC
1.57

finishing

Kanchanaburi+0.00on par
Trat FC+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kanchanaburi ↓

Trat FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Kanchanaburi or draw
72%
Kanchanaburi or Trat FC
75%
Draw or Trat FC
53%

Winning margin

Kanchanaburi wins by 2+
25%
Trat FC wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Kanchanaburi 1+ goals
80%
Kanchanaburi 2+ goals
48%
Kanchanaburi 3+ goals
22%
Trat FC 1+ goals
70%
Trat FC 2+ goals
34%
Trat FC 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Kanchanaburi (draw refunded)
63%
Trat FC (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kanchanaburi at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.20 · 35 matches

Trat FC away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.57 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kanchanaburi attack 1.69 + Trat FC defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.63

Trat FC attack 1.20 + Kanchanaburi defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Kanchanaburi scores more
47%
level
25%
Trat FC scores more
28%

Kanchanaburi at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Kanchanaburi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kanchanaburi vs Trat FC

Kanchanaburi and Trat FC drew 0-0 in Thai League 2 on September 1, 2024.

The match was played at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium in Kanchanaburi.