Kanchanaburi vs Pattaya United — Thai League 2 2018
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 35+ matches
Kanchanaburi53%
Pattaya United23%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Kanchanaburi creates 63% more chances
Season form · 35 home / 43 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over51
- Under49
Close call
Both teams score
- Yes52
- No48
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Kanchanaburi ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Kanchanaburi at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.20 · 35 matches
Pattaya United away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.67 · 43 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Kanchanaburi attack 1.69 + Pattaya United defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.68
Pattaya United attack 0.86 + Kanchanaburi defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.03
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 53%?"
Kanchanaburi at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 53% does not mean "Kanchanaburi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
PTT Rayong
Trat FC
Chiangmai FC
Khonkaen
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Samut Sakhon FC
Army United
Lampang FC
Sisaket
Rayong FC
Thai Honda FC
Kasetsart FC
Krabi FC
Ang Thong FCIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Kanchanaburi host Pattaya United on Saturday, 1 March 2025 at 12:00. The match is part of the Thai League 2 2018/2019 season.
Kanchanaburi face Pattaya United (Thai League 2)
Thai League 2 returns with Kanchanaburi hosting Pattaya United. Match starts March 1, 2025. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
Kanchanaburi host Pattaya United at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.