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Kamuzu Barracks vs Masters FC — Super League 2026

Kamuzu Barracks
Kamuzu Barracks
Preview
12:30
Masters FC
Masters FC
12/19/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 24
56%
Kamuzu Barracks
model favours
56%27%17%
1–0
likely score
66%
under 2.5 goals
36%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Kamuzu Barracks56%
×Draw27%
Masters FC17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kamuzu Barracks
1.41
Masters FC
0.64

Kamuzu Barracks creates 120% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 4 away

creates per match

Kamuzu Barracks
1.07
Masters FC
0.50

allows per match

Kamuzu Barracks
0.77
Masters FC
1.75

finishing

Kamuzu Barracks+0.00on par
Masters FC+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kamuzu Barracks ↓

Masters FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Kamuzu Barracks or draw
83%
Kamuzu Barracks or Masters FC
73%
Draw or Masters FC
44%

Winning margin

Kamuzu Barracks wins by 2+
28%
Masters FC wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Kamuzu Barracks 1+ goals
76%
Kamuzu Barracks 2+ goals
41%
Kamuzu Barracks 3+ goals
17%
Masters FC 1+ goals
47%
Masters FC 2+ goals
14%
Masters FC 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Kamuzu Barracks (draw refunded)
77%
Masters FC (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kamuzu Barracks at home — creates 1.07, concedes 0.77 · 83 matches

Masters FC away — creates 0.50, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kamuzu Barracks attack 1.07 + Masters FC defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.41

Masters FC attack 0.50 + Kamuzu Barracks defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Kamuzu Barracks scores more
56%
level
27%
Masters FC scores more
17%

Kamuzu Barracks at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Kamuzu Barracks will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Barracks
LLLLL
FC
WLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Kamuzu Barracks host Masters FC

December 19, 2026: Kamuzu Barracks take on Masters FC in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.