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Kalamunda City vs Dianella White Eagle — Western Australia State League 1 2026

Kalamunda City
Kalamunda City
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Dianella White Eagle
Dianella White Eagle
8/23/2025Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1 · Round 22Maida Vale Reserve

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Kalamunda City25%
×Draw22%
Dianella White Eagle53%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kalamunda City
1.29
Dianella White Eagle
1.96

Dianella White Eagle creates 52% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 22 away

creates per match

Kalamunda City
1.27
Dianella White Eagle
1.82

allows per match

Kalamunda City
2.09
Dianella White Eagle
1.32

finishing

Kalamunda City+0.00on par
Dianella White Eagle+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kalamunda City ↓

Dianella White Eagle →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–27%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Kalamunda City or draw
47%
Kalamunda City or Dianella White Eagle
78%
Draw or Dianella White Eagle
75%

Winning margin

Kalamunda City wins by 2+
10%
Dianella White Eagle wins by 2+
31%

Team goals

Kalamunda City 1+ goals
72%
Kalamunda City 2+ goals
37%
Kalamunda City 3+ goals
14%
Dianella White Eagle 1+ goals
86%
Dianella White Eagle 2+ goals
58%
Dianella White Eagle 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Kalamunda City (draw refunded)
32%
Dianella White Eagle (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kalamunda City at home — creates 1.27, concedes 2.09 · 11 matches

Dianella White Eagle away — creates 1.82, concedes 1.32 · 22 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kalamunda City attack 1.27 + Dianella White Eagle defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.29

Dianella White Eagle attack 1.82 + Kalamunda City defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Kalamunda City scores more
25%
level
22%
Dianella White Eagle scores more
53%

Dianella White Eagle at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Dianella White Eagle will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kalamunda City vs Dianella White Eagle

Dianella White Eagle beat Kalamunda City 3-0 in Western Australia State League 1 on August 23, 2025.

The match was played at Maida Vale Reserve in Maida Vale.