Kahraba Ismailia 0–0 Petrojet: Result & Stats

Kahraba Ismailia

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Petrojet

4/6/2026

Premier League · Relegation Group - 2Suez Canal Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Kahraba Ismailia23%

×Draw29%

Petrojet48%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kahraba IsmailiaExpected goals in this matchPetrojet

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.81

1.31

Kahraba Ismailia

0.81

Petrojet

1.31

Petrojet creates 62% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

0.69

creates per match

1.28

1.35

allows per match

0.94

creates per match

Kahraba Ismailia

0.69

Petrojet

1.28

allows per match

Kahraba Ismailia

1.35

Petrojet

0.94

+0.31scores more than expected

finishing

+0.16scores more than expected

finishing

Kahraba Ismailia+0.31scores more

Petrojet+0.16scores more

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kahraba Ismailia ↓

Petrojet →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–116%

0–210%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–15%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Kahraba Ismailia or draw

52%

Kahraba Ismailia or Petrojet

71%

Draw or Petrojet

77%

Winning margin

Kahraba Ismailia wins by 2+

7%

Petrojet wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Kahraba Ismailia 1+ goals

56%

Kahraba Ismailia 2+ goals

19%

Kahraba Ismailia 3+ goals

5%

Petrojet 1+ goals

73%

Petrojet 2+ goals

38%

Petrojet 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Kahraba Ismailia (draw refunded)

32%

Petrojet (draw refunded)

68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kahraba Ismailia at home — creates 0.69, concedes 1.35 · 7 matches

Petrojet away — creates 1.28, concedes 0.94 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kahraba Ismailia attack 0.69 + Petrojet defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.81

Petrojet attack 1.28 + Kahraba Ismailia defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Kahraba Ismailia scores more

23%

level

29%

Petrojet scores more

48%

Petrojet at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Petrojet will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

A. Hamed

Petrojet · M

8.5

Match Events

7'

Islam Abdelnaim

7'

Islam AbdelnaimCard upgrade

24'

Sekou Sonko

46'

H. El Shazly← O. El Said

46'

E. El Fayoumi← M. Farouk

58'

Badr MousaCard upgrade

59'

Badr Mousa

61'

G. Chukwudi← S. Sonko

61'

A. Diabate← I. Abdallah

65'

M. Hany← S. Al Agouz

65'

E. S. Shika M.← L. Namgbema

69'

M. Ibrahim← M. El Badry

73'

Mostafa El Gamal

77'

A. Maradona← A. Sulieman

77'

A. Bah← M. El Gamal

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KahrabaPetrojet

Overview

47%Possession53%

8Total Shots16

0.46Expected Goals (xG)1.21

4Corners10

7Fouls12

Shots

8Total Shots16

0On Target6

6Off Target8

2Blocked2

6Inside Box8

2Outside Box8

Passing

47%Possession53%

367Total Passes390

276Accurate Passes321

75%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

6Saves0

0.00Goals Prevented0.00

Discipline

7Fouls12

0Yellow Cards2

1Red Cards1

3Offsides1