Kahraba Ismailia 1–1 Future FC: Result & Stats

Kahraba Ismailia

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Future FC

E. S. Shika M. 48'

R. El Metwaly 76'

3/22/2026

Premier League · Relegation Group - 1Suez Canal Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Kahraba Ismailia27%

×Draw30%

Future FC43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kahraba IsmailiaExpected goals in this matchFuture FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.85

1.15

Kahraba Ismailia

0.85

Future FC

1.15

Future FC creates 35% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

0.69

creates per match

0.94

1.35

allows per match

1.01

creates per match

Kahraba Ismailia

0.69

Future FC

0.94

allows per match

Kahraba Ismailia

1.35

Future FC

1.01

+0.31scores more than expected

finishing

-0.19scores less than expected

finishing

Kahraba Ismailia+0.31scores more

Future FC-0.19scores less

Total goals

Under68
Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kahraba Ismailia ↓

Future FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–116%

0–29%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

59%41%2.5

32%68%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Kahraba Ismailia or draw

57%

Kahraba Ismailia or Future FC

70%

Draw or Future FC

73%

Winning margin

Kahraba Ismailia wins by 2+

9%

Future FC wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Kahraba Ismailia 1+ goals

57%

Kahraba Ismailia 2+ goals

21%

Kahraba Ismailia 3+ goals

5%

Future FC 1+ goals

68%

Future FC 2+ goals

32%

Future FC 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Kahraba Ismailia (draw refunded)

39%

Future FC (draw refunded)

61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kahraba Ismailia at home — creates 0.69, concedes 1.35 · 7 matches

Future FC away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.01 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kahraba Ismailia attack 0.69 + Future FC defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 0.85

Future FC attack 0.94 + Kahraba Ismailia defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Kahraba Ismailia scores more

27%

level

30%

Future FC scores more

43%

Future FC at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Future FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

29

E. S. Shika M.

Kahraba Ismailia · F

7.6

Match Events

26'

E. S. Shika M.← B. Boateng

41'

S. Soliman← M. Mosaad

45+3'

Ali SuliemanPenalty cancelled

46'

Arnold Eba

46'

K. Reda← A. Elfil

48'

E. S. Shika M.↳ A. Sulieman

54'

E. El Fayoumi← M. Farouk

54'

M. Hany← S. El Agouz

60'

A. Mostafa← M. Helal

60'

M. Mamdouh← A. Youssef

66'

Abdel Fattah Sheta

76'

R. El Metwaly

77'

A. Redjem← A. Eba

82'

Mohamed Shika

82'

H. El Shazly← K. Yehia

83'

A. Maradona← A. Sulieman

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KahrabaFuture

Overview

48%Possession52%

11Total Shots10

1.06Expected Goals (xG)1.49

4Corners7

13Fouls13

Shots

11Total Shots10

4On Target3

4Off Target5

3Blocked2

6Inside Box6

5Outside Box4

Passing

48%Possession52%

351Total Passes366

252Accurate Passes284

72%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

-0.07Goals Prevented-0.07

Discipline

13Fouls13

2Yellow Cards1

3Offsides6