Kafr Qasim 0–0 Hapoel Ramat Gan: Result & Stats

Kafr Qasim

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Hapoel Ramat Gan

11/24/2023

Liga Leumit · Round 9HaMoshava Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 129+ matches

Kafr Qasim35%

×Draw28%

Hapoel Ramat Gan37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kafr QasimExpected goals in this matchHapoel Ramat Gan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.23

Kafr Qasim

1.19

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 131 home / 129 away

1.25

creates per match

1.30

1.16

allows per match

1.12

creates per match

Kafr Qasim

1.25

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.30

allows per match

Kafr Qasim

1.16

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.12

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kafr Qasim+0.00on par

Hapoel Ramat Gan+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kafr Qasim ↓

Hapoel Ramat Gan →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Kafr Qasim or draw

63%

Kafr Qasim or Hapoel Ramat Gan

72%

Draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan

65%

Winning margin

Kafr Qasim wins by 2+

15%

Hapoel Ramat Gan wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Kafr Qasim 1+ goals

70%

Kafr Qasim 2+ goals

33%

Kafr Qasim 3+ goals

12%

Hapoel Ramat Gan 1+ goals

71%

Hapoel Ramat Gan 2+ goals

35%

Hapoel Ramat Gan 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Kafr Qasim (draw refunded)

49%

Hapoel Ramat Gan (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kafr Qasim at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.16 · 131 matches

Hapoel Ramat Gan away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.12 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kafr Qasim attack 1.25 + Hapoel Ramat Gan defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.19

Hapoel Ramat Gan attack 1.30 + Kafr Qasim defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Kafr Qasim scores more

35%

level

28%

Hapoel Ramat Gan scores more

37%

Hapoel Ramat Gan at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Hapoel Ramat Gan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff