Kabel Novi Sad 2–1 FK Trayal: Result & Stats

Kabel Novi Sad

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

FK Trayal

M. Savanovic 90'

V. Boskan 50' (pen)

F. Djurovic 63'

4/5/2026

Prva Liga · Round 30Stadion Slana Bara

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 69+ matches

Kabel Novi Sad39%

×Draw30%

FK Trayal31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kabel Novi SadExpected goals in this matchFK Trayal

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.14

0.98

Kabel Novi Sad

1.14

FK Trayal

0.98

Kabel Novi Sad creates 16% more chances

Season form · 69 home / 108 away

0.88

creates per match

0.77

1.20

allows per match

1.39

creates per match

Kabel Novi Sad

0.88

FK Trayal

0.77

allows per match

Kabel Novi Sad

1.20

FK Trayal

1.39

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kabel Novi Sad+0.00on par

FK Trayal+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kabel Novi Sad ↓

FK Trayal →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Kabel Novi Sad or draw

69%

Kabel Novi Sad or FK Trayal

70%

Draw or FK Trayal

61%

Winning margin

Kabel Novi Sad wins by 2+

16%

FK Trayal wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Kabel Novi Sad 1+ goals

68%

Kabel Novi Sad 2+ goals

32%

Kabel Novi Sad 3+ goals

11%

FK Trayal 1+ goals

62%

FK Trayal 2+ goals

26%

FK Trayal 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Kabel Novi Sad (draw refunded)

56%

FK Trayal (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kabel Novi Sad at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.20 · 69 matches

FK Trayal away — creates 0.77, concedes 1.39 · 108 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kabel Novi Sad attack 0.88 + FK Trayal defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.14

FK Trayal attack 0.77 + Kabel Novi Sad defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Kabel Novi Sad scores more

39%

level

30%

FK Trayal scores more

31%

Kabel Novi Sad at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Kabel Novi Sad will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

N. Ninkovic← N. Tedic

34'

D. Popovic

43'

A. Muydinov

50'

V. BoskanPenalty

61'

A. Nishimura← A. Muydinov

61'

B. Simic← V. Djordjevic

63'

64'

66'

70'

70'

V. Apostolovski← I. Dervisi

75'

77'

77'

77'

80'

82'

82'

N. Bogdanovic← V. Mijailovic

90'

M. Savanovic

Kabel

FK

1

Simic

6

▼

Horike

10

⚽

▼

Djurovic

11

Nikolic

13

Nedeljkov

14

▼

Muydinov

20

▼

Mijailovi

23

▼

26

27

31

1

5

▼

13

14

15

17

18

⚽

▼

Boskan

19

▼

Dervisi

23

▼

Tedic

25

⚽

Savanovic

26

Marjanovi

Manager: Dusan Bajic

10'▲N. Ninkovic←▼N. Tedic

70'▲L. Kljajic←▼M. Pavic

70'▲V. Apostolovski←▼I. Dervisi

77'▲S. Savija←▼V. Boskan

Kabel Novi Sad substitutes

12Perin22Nikolic3Kljajic6Micunovic7Paunovic9Savija11Janjic16Ninkovic21Apostolovski24Kuzmin29Jelic

Manager: Dejan Brankovic

61'▲A. Nishimura←▼A. Muydinov

61'▲B. Simic←▼V. Djordjevic

75'▲D. Ivic←▼F. Djurovic

82'▲P. Medic←▼Y. Horike

82'▲N. Bogdanovic←▼V. Mijailovic

FK Trayal substitutes

12Markovic3Kotlajic5Djokic9Nishimura18Ivic19Simic21Medic24Milenkovic25Bogdanovic29Randjelov

Match Recap: Kabel Novi Sad vs FK Trayal

Kabel Novi Sad beat FK Trayal 2-1 in Prva Liga on April 5, 2026.

Goals: V. Boskan (50' pen), F. Djurovic (63'), M. Savanovic (90').

The match was played at Stadion Slana Bara in Novi Sad.

Kabel Novi Sad vs FK Trayal — Prva Liga 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Kabel Novi Sad vs FK Trayal