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Juventud Unida vs Deportivo Camioneros — Primera C 2026

Juventud Unida
Juventud Unida
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Camioneros
7/26/2025Primera CPrimera C · Round 19Estadio de San Miguel

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Juventud Unida23%
×Draw31%
Deportivo Camioneros47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Juventud Unida
0.72
Deportivo Camioneros
1.17

Deportivo Camioneros creates 63% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 14 away

creates per match

Juventud Unida
0.88
Deportivo Camioneros
1.21

allows per match

Juventud Unida
1.13
Deportivo Camioneros
0.57

finishing

Juventud Unida+0.00on par
Deportivo Camioneros+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Juventud Unida ↓

Deportivo Camioneros →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–118%
0–210%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–15%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Juventud Unida or draw
53%
Juventud Unida or Deportivo Camioneros
69%
Draw or Deportivo Camioneros
77%

Winning margin

Juventud Unida wins by 2+
7%
Deportivo Camioneros wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Juventud Unida 1+ goals
51%
Juventud Unida 2+ goals
16%
Juventud Unida 3+ goals
4%
Deportivo Camioneros 1+ goals
69%
Deportivo Camioneros 2+ goals
33%
Deportivo Camioneros 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Juventud Unida (draw refunded)
33%
Deportivo Camioneros (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Juventud Unida at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.13 · 48 matches

Deportivo Camioneros away — creates 1.21, concedes 0.57 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Juventud Unida attack 0.88 + Deportivo Camioneros defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.72

Deportivo Camioneros attack 1.21 + Juventud Unida defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Juventud Unida scores more
23%
level
31%
Deportivo Camioneros scores more
47%

Deportivo Camioneros at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Deportivo Camioneros will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Primera C: Juventud Unida 0–0 Deportivo Camioneros

Juventud Unida and Deportivo Camioneros drew 0-0 in Primera C on July 26, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio de San Miguel in San Miguel.