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Jungnang Chorus Mustang vs Namyangju — K4 League 2026

Jungnang Chorus Mustang
Jungnang Chorus Mustang
Preview
08:00
Namyangju
Namyangju
8/22/2026K4 LeagueK4 League · Round 19
44%
Jungnang Chorus Mustang
model favours
44%26%30%
1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Jungnang Chorus Mustang44%
×Draw26%
Namyangju30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jungnang Chorus Mustang
1.50
Namyangju
1.19

Jungnang Chorus Mustang creates 26% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 6 away

creates per match

Jungnang Chorus Mustang
1.33
Namyangju
1.17

allows per match

Jungnang Chorus Mustang
1.22
Namyangju
1.67

finishing

Jungnang Chorus Mustang+0.00on par
Namyangju+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jungnang Chorus Mustang ↓

Namyangju →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Jungnang Chorus Mustang or draw
70%
Jungnang Chorus Mustang or Namyangju
74%
Draw or Namyangju
56%

Winning margin

Jungnang Chorus Mustang wins by 2+
22%
Namyangju wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Jungnang Chorus Mustang 1+ goals
78%
Jungnang Chorus Mustang 2+ goals
44%
Jungnang Chorus Mustang 3+ goals
19%
Namyangju 1+ goals
70%
Namyangju 2+ goals
33%
Namyangju 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Jungnang Chorus Mustang (draw refunded)
60%
Namyangju (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jungnang Chorus Mustang at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Namyangju away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jungnang Chorus Mustang attack 1.33 + Namyangju defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.50

Namyangju attack 1.17 + Jungnang Chorus Mustang defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Jungnang Chorus Mustang scores more
44%
level
26%
Namyangju scores more
30%

Jungnang Chorus Mustang at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Jungnang Chorus Mustang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Mustang
WLDLW
Namyangju
LWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Jungnang Chorus Mustang host Namyangju

August 22, 2026: Jungnang Chorus Mustang take on Namyangju in K4 League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.