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JSM Skikda vs US Biskra — League #187 2026

JSM Skikda
JSM Skikda
FT
0 – 0
US Biskra
US Biskra
10/6/2018League #187League #187 · Round 9Stade du 20 Août 1955 (Skikda)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

JSM Skikda50%
×Draw32%
US Biskra18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

JSM Skikda
1.14
US Biskra
0.57

JSM Skikda creates 100% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 3 away

creates per match

JSM Skikda
1.60
US Biskra
0.33

allows per match

JSM Skikda
0.80
US Biskra
0.67

finishing

JSM Skikda+0.00on par
US Biskra+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

70%No
  • No70
  • Yes30

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

JSM Skikda ↓

US Biskra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–110%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–021%
1–112%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (21%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
51%49%2.5
25%75%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

JSM Skikda or draw
82%
JSM Skikda or US Biskra
68%
Draw or US Biskra
50%

Winning margin

JSM Skikda wins by 2+
22%
US Biskra wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

JSM Skikda 1+ goals
68%
JSM Skikda 2+ goals
32%
JSM Skikda 3+ goals
11%
US Biskra 1+ goals
43%
US Biskra 2+ goals
11%
US Biskra 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

JSM Skikda (draw refunded)
73%
US Biskra (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
18%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

JSM Skikda at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.80 · 10 matches

US Biskra away — creates 0.33, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

JSM Skikda attack 1.60 + US Biskra defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.14

US Biskra attack 0.33 + JSM Skikda defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

JSM Skikda scores more
50%
level
32%
US Biskra scores more
18%

JSM Skikda at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "JSM Skikda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #187: JSM Skikda 0–0 US Biskra

JSM Skikda and US Biskra drew 0-0 in League #187 on October 6, 2018.

The match was played at Stade du 20 Août 1955 (Skikda).