Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

JS Saoura vs CR Belouizdad — Ligue 1 2018

JS Saoura
JS Saoura
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
CR Belouizdad
CR Belouizdad
5/12/2026Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Round 1920 August 1955 Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 110+ matches

JS Saoura44%
×Draw29%
CR Belouizdad27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

JS Saoura
1.27
CR Belouizdad
0.92

JS Saoura creates 38% more chances

Season form · 110 home / 123 away

creates per match

JS Saoura
1.76
CR Belouizdad
1.22

allows per match

JS Saoura
0.62
CR Belouizdad
0.77

finishing

JS Saoura+0.00on par
CR Belouizdad+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

JS Saoura ↓

CR Belouizdad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

JS Saoura or draw
73%
JS Saoura or CR Belouizdad
71%
Draw or CR Belouizdad
56%

Winning margin

JS Saoura wins by 2+
20%
CR Belouizdad wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

JS Saoura 1+ goals
72%
JS Saoura 2+ goals
36%
JS Saoura 3+ goals
14%
CR Belouizdad 1+ goals
60%
CR Belouizdad 2+ goals
23%
CR Belouizdad 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

JS Saoura (draw refunded)
62%
CR Belouizdad (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

JS Saoura at home — creates 1.76, concedes 0.62 · 110 matches

CR Belouizdad away — creates 1.22, concedes 0.77 · 123 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

JS Saoura attack 1.76 + CR Belouizdad defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 1.27

CR Belouizdad attack 1.22 + JS Saoura defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

JS Saoura scores more
44%
level
29%
CR Belouizdad scores more
27%

JS Saoura at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "JS Saoura will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Ligue 1: JS Saoura 0–0 CR Belouizdad

JS Saoura and CR Belouizdad drew 0-0 in Ligue 1 on May 12, 2026.

The match was played at 20 August 1955 Stadium in Algiers.