Jordan 7–0 Cambodia: Result & Stats

Jordan

FT

7 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Cambodia

Mousa Mohammad Mousa 90'

Hamza Al Dardoor 87', 21', 12'

Ahmed Samir 63'

Odai Al Saify 61'

Yaseen Al Bakhit 47'

3/28/2017

Asian Cup - Qualification · Group Stage - 1King Abdullah International Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Jordan86%

×Draw10%

Cambodia4%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

JordanExpected goals in this matchCambodia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.98

0.48

Jordan

2.98

Cambodia

0.48

Jordan creates 521% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 7 away

3.40

creates per match

0.57

0.40

allows per match

2.57

creates per match

Jordan

3.40

Cambodia

0.57

allows per match

Jordan

0.40

Cambodia

2.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jordan+0.00on par

Cambodia+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jordan ↓

Cambodia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–12%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–15%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–17%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–014%

3–17%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–011%

4–15%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (14%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Jordan or draw

96%

Jordan or Cambodia

90%

Draw or Cambodia

14%

Winning margin

Jordan wins by 2+

68%

Cambodia wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Jordan 1+ goals

95%

Jordan 2+ goals

79%

Jordan 3+ goals

56%

Cambodia 1+ goals

38%

Cambodia 2+ goals

8%

Cambodia 3+ goals

1%

Draw no bet

Jordan (draw refunded)

96%

Cambodia (draw refunded)

4%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jordan at home — creates 3.40, concedes 0.40 · 5 matches

Cambodia away — creates 0.57, concedes 2.57 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jordan attack 3.40 + Cambodia defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 2.98

Cambodia attack 0.57 + Jordan defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 86%?"

Jordan scores more

86%

level

10%

Cambodia scores more

4%

Jordan at 86% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 86% does not mean "Jordan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

8'

Ahmed Samir← Khalil Baniateyah

12'

Hamza Al Dardoor

21'

Hamza Al Dardoor

40'

Tit Dina← Seut Baraing

47'

Yaseen Al Bakhit

57'

Sos Souhana← Chreng Polroth

61'

Odai Al Saify

63'

Tha'er Al Bawab← Odai Al Saify

63'

Ahmed Samir

64'

Choum Pisa← Sor Piseth

79'

Mousa Mohammad Mousa← Yaseen Al Bakhit

87'

Hamza Al Dardoor

90'

Mousa Mohammad Mousa

Jordan

Cambodia

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

Bakhit

▼

Baniateya

Amara

⚽

▼

Saify

⚽3

Dardoor

Manager: Abdullah Ahmed Mesfer

8'▲Ahmed Samir←▼Khalil Baniateyah

63'▲Tha'er Al Bawab←▼Odai Al Saify

79'▲Mousa Mohammad Mousa←▼Yaseen Al Bakhit

Jordan substitutes

SamirBawabMousaAbuhudieabFaisalMardiFadellailaMohannadZeyadDaldoumYaseen

Manager: Prak Sovannara

40'▲Tit Dina←▼Seut Baraing

57'▲Sos Souhana←▼Chreng Polroth

64'▲Choum Pisa←▼Sor Piseth

Cambodia substitutes

DinaSouhanaPisaSokphengSokselaChengTolaRavyOutdomPidorVirakPom

Match Recap: Jordan vs Cambodia

Jordan beat Cambodia 7-0 in Asian Cup - Qualification on March 28, 2017.

Goals: Hamza Al Dardoor (12', 21', 87'), Yaseen Al Bakhit (47'), Odai Al Saify (61'), Ahmed Samir (63'), Mousa Mohammad Mousa (90').

The match was played at King Abdullah International Stadium in Amman.

Jordan vs Cambodia — Asian Cup - Qualification 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Jordan vs Cambodia