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Jiskra Domažlice II vs Slavia Vejprnice — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Jiskra Domažlice II
Jiskra Domažlice II
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Slavia Vejprnice
Slavia Vejprnice
4/5/20254. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 20Stadion Střelnice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Jiskra Domažlice II61%
×Draw20%
Slavia Vejprnice19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jiskra Domažlice II
2.17
Slavia Vejprnice
1.13

Jiskra Domažlice II creates 92% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 15 away

creates per match

Jiskra Domažlice II
1.67
Slavia Vejprnice
0.53

allows per match

Jiskra Domažlice II
1.73
Slavia Vejprnice
2.67

finishing

Jiskra Domažlice II+0.00on par
Slavia Vejprnice+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jiskra Domažlice II ↓

Slavia Vejprnice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Jiskra Domažlice II or draw
81%
Jiskra Domažlice II or Slavia Vejprnice
80%
Draw or Slavia Vejprnice
39%

Winning margin

Jiskra Domažlice II wins by 2+
38%
Slavia Vejprnice wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Jiskra Domažlice II 1+ goals
89%
Jiskra Domažlice II 2+ goals
64%
Jiskra Domažlice II 3+ goals
36%
Slavia Vejprnice 1+ goals
68%
Slavia Vejprnice 2+ goals
31%
Slavia Vejprnice 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Jiskra Domažlice II (draw refunded)
76%
Slavia Vejprnice (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jiskra Domažlice II at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.73 · 60 matches

Slavia Vejprnice away — creates 0.53, concedes 2.67 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jiskra Domažlice II attack 1.67 + Slavia Vejprnice defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.17

Slavia Vejprnice attack 0.53 + Jiskra Domažlice II defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Jiskra Domažlice II scores more
61%
level
20%
Slavia Vejprnice scores more
19%

Jiskra Domažlice II at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Jiskra Domažlice II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

4. liga - Divizie A: Jiskra Domažlice II 0–1 Slavia Vejprnice

Slavia Vejprnice beat Jiskra Domažlice II 1-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on April 5, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Střelnice in Domažlice.