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Jeunes Fauves vs PWD Bamenda — Elite One 2019

Jeunes Fauves
Jeunes Fauves
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
PWD Bamenda
PWD Bamenda
T. Bembong 79'
P. Colvert 74'
N. Fielding 12'
2/9/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 4Stade Omnisports Annexe 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

Jeunes Fauves35%
×Draw29%
PWD Bamenda36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jeunes Fauves
1.13
PWD Bamenda
1.14

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 49 home / 99 away

creates per match

Jeunes Fauves
1.08
PWD Bamenda
1.01

allows per match

Jeunes Fauves
1.27
PWD Bamenda
1.18

finishing

Jeunes Fauves+0.00on par
PWD Bamenda+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jeunes Fauves ↓

PWD Bamenda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Jeunes Fauves or draw
64%
Jeunes Fauves or PWD Bamenda
71%
Draw or PWD Bamenda
65%

Winning margin

Jeunes Fauves wins by 2+
14%
PWD Bamenda wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Jeunes Fauves 1+ goals
68%
Jeunes Fauves 2+ goals
31%
Jeunes Fauves 3+ goals
11%
PWD Bamenda 1+ goals
68%
PWD Bamenda 2+ goals
32%
PWD Bamenda 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Jeunes Fauves (draw refunded)
50%
PWD Bamenda (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jeunes Fauves at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.27 · 49 matches

PWD Bamenda away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.18 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jeunes Fauves attack 1.08 + PWD Bamenda defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.13

PWD Bamenda attack 1.01 + Jeunes Fauves defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Jeunes Fauves scores more
35%
level
29%
PWD Bamenda scores more
36%

PWD Bamenda at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "PWD Bamenda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'
N. Fielding
74'
P. Colvert
79'
T. Bembong
90+5'
J. Nguimbat

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: Jeunes Fauves 1–2 PWD Bamenda

PWD Bamenda beat Jeunes Fauves 2-1 in Elite One on February 9, 2026.

Goals: N. Fielding (12'), P. Colvert (74'), T. Bembong (79').

The match was played at Stade Omnisports Annexe 1.