Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Jeunes Fauves vs Panthère — Elite One 2019

Jeunes Fauves
Jeunes Fauves
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Panthère
Panthère
4/20/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 14Stade Omnisports Annexe 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

Jeunes Fauves35%
×Draw30%
Panthère35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jeunes Fauves
1.06
Panthère
1.05

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 49 home / 64 away

creates per match

Jeunes Fauves
1.08
Panthère
0.84

allows per match

Jeunes Fauves
1.27
Panthère
1.05

finishing

Jeunes Fauves+0.00on par
Panthère+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jeunes Fauves ↓

Panthère →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–113%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Jeunes Fauves or draw
65%
Jeunes Fauves or Panthère
70%
Draw or Panthère
65%

Winning margin

Jeunes Fauves wins by 2+
14%
Panthère wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Jeunes Fauves 1+ goals
65%
Jeunes Fauves 2+ goals
29%
Jeunes Fauves 3+ goals
9%
Panthère 1+ goals
65%
Panthère 2+ goals
28%
Panthère 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Jeunes Fauves (draw refunded)
50%
Panthère (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jeunes Fauves at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.27 · 49 matches

Panthère away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.05 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jeunes Fauves attack 1.08 + Panthère defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.06

Panthère attack 0.84 + Jeunes Fauves defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Jeunes Fauves scores more
35%
level
30%
Panthère scores more
35%

Jeunes Fauves at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Jeunes Fauves will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Jeunes Fauves vs Panthère

Panthère beat Jeunes Fauves 1-0 in Elite One on April 20, 2026.

The match was played at Stade Omnisports Annexe 1.