Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Jedinstvo Ub vs Radnicki 1923 — Super Liga 2026

Jedinstvo Ub
Jedinstvo Ub
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
I. Abass 45'
S. Chinedu 38' (OG)
K. Bevis 57'
L. Ben Hassine 16'
3/14/2025Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 28Stadion Event Place

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Jedinstvo Ub35%
×Draw27%
Radnicki 192338%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jedinstvo Ub
1.26
Radnicki 1923
1.32

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 18 home / 95 away

creates per match

Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Radnicki 1923
1.14

allows per match

Jedinstvo Ub
1.50
Radnicki 1923
1.52

finishing

Jedinstvo Ub+0.00on par
Radnicki 1923+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jedinstvo Ub ↓

Radnicki 1923 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Jedinstvo Ub or draw
62%
Jedinstvo Ub or Radnicki 1923
73%
Draw or Radnicki 1923
65%

Winning margin

Jedinstvo Ub wins by 2+
15%
Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Jedinstvo Ub 1+ goals
72%
Jedinstvo Ub 2+ goals
36%
Jedinstvo Ub 3+ goals
13%
Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
73%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
38%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Jedinstvo Ub (draw refunded)
48%
Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jedinstvo Ub at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 18 matches

Radnicki 1923 away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.52 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jedinstvo Ub attack 1.00 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.26

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.14 + Jedinstvo Ub defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Jedinstvo Ub scores more
35%
level
27%
Radnicki 1923 scores more
38%

Radnicki 1923 at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

28
I. AbassJedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub · M
8.6

Match Events

10'
M. Gluščević← B. Adžić
16'
L. Ben Hassine
37'
Veljko KijevčaninMissed penalty
38'
S. ChineduOwn goal
45+1'
Issah Abass
45'
I. Abass
54'
Strahinja Rakić
57'
K. Bevis↳ B. Mirčetić
60'
Aleksa Paić
65'
Ivan Rogač
68'
Alfa Baldé← L. Stankovski
68'
I. Bah← S. Chinedu
76'
Viktor Damjanić
78'
U. Savković← S. Petkoski Cimbaljević
82'
A. Janković← S. Zeljković
82'
N. Bukumira← M. Gluščević
83'
R. Denzell← N. Doderović
90+4'
Miloš Ristić
90'
Kilian Bevis
90+4'
M. Mitrović← I. Abass
90+4'
L. Mladenović← V. Kijevčanin

Possession

40%Jedinstvo

Shots

13Jedinstvo

Pass accuracy

47%Jedinstvo

Statistics

JedinstvoRadnicki
Overview
40%Possession60%
13Total Shots18
7Corners4
16Fouls16
Shots
13Total Shots18
5On Target7
4Off Target6
4Blocked5
8Inside Box9
5Outside Box9
Passing
40%Possession60%
246Total Passes372
171Accurate Passes289
70%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
Discipline
16Fouls16
5Yellow Cards2
1Offsides0

Super Liga: Jedinstvo Ub 2–2 Radnicki 1923

Jedinstvo Ub and Radnicki 1923 drew 2-2 in Super Liga on March 14, 2025.

Goals: L. Ben Hassine (16'), S. Chinedu (38' o.g.), I. Abass (45'), K. Bevis (57').

Radnicki 1923 controlled possession (60%) and registered 18 shots to 13.

The match was played at Stadion Event Place in Beograd.