Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Jedinstvo Kruševac vs SFS Borac — Srpska Liga - East 2019

Jedinstvo Kruševac
Jedinstvo Kruševac
FT
2 – 0
SFS Borac
SFS Borac
6/8/2025Srpska Liga - EastSrpska Liga - East · East - 29Sportski centar Jedinstvo 1936

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Jedinstvo Kruševac52%
×Draw23%
SFS Borac25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jedinstvo Kruševac
1.81
SFS Borac
1.17

Jedinstvo Kruševac creates 55% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 72 away

creates per match

Jedinstvo Kruševac
2.05
SFS Borac
1.10

allows per match

Jedinstvo Kruševac
1.23
SFS Borac
1.58

finishing

Jedinstvo Kruševac+0.00on par
SFS Borac+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jedinstvo Kruševac ↓

SFS Borac →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Jedinstvo Kruševac or draw
75%
Jedinstvo Kruševac or SFS Borac
77%
Draw or SFS Borac
48%

Winning margin

Jedinstvo Kruševac wins by 2+
29%
SFS Borac wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Jedinstvo Kruševac 1+ goals
84%
Jedinstvo Kruševac 2+ goals
54%
Jedinstvo Kruševac 3+ goals
27%
SFS Borac 1+ goals
69%
SFS Borac 2+ goals
33%
SFS Borac 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Jedinstvo Kruševac (draw refunded)
68%
SFS Borac (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jedinstvo Kruševac at home — creates 2.05, concedes 1.23 · 44 matches

SFS Borac away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.58 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jedinstvo Kruševac attack 2.05 + SFS Borac defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.81

SFS Borac attack 1.10 + Jedinstvo Kruševac defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Jedinstvo Kruševac scores more
52%
level
23%
SFS Borac scores more
25%

Jedinstvo Kruševac at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Jedinstvo Kruševac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Jedinstvo Kruševac vs SFS Borac

Jedinstvo Kruševac beat SFS Borac 2-0 in Srpska Liga - East on June 8, 2025.

The match was played at Sportski centar Jedinstvo 1936 in Kruševac.