Jedinstvo Bihać vs Bratstvo Gračanica — 1st League - FBiH 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 95+ matches
Jedinstvo Bihać48%
Bratstvo Gračanica26%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Jedinstvo Bihać creates 47% more chances
Season form · 95 home / 96 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under56
- Over44
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No52
- Yes48
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Jedinstvo Bihać ↓
Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Jedinstvo Bihać at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.05 · 95 matches
Bratstvo Gračanica away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.41 · 96 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Jedinstvo Bihać attack 1.52 + Bratstvo Gračanica defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.46
Bratstvo Gračanica attack 0.94 + Jedinstvo Bihać defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 0.99
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 48%?"
Jedinstvo Bihać at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 48% does not mean "Jedinstvo Bihać will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Olimpik Sarajevo
TOŠK Tešanj
Goražde
GOŠK Gabela
Čapljina
Rudar Kakanj
Travnik
Igman Konjic
Zvijezda Gradačac
Metalleghe-BSI Jajce
Budućnost BanovićiBratstvo Gračanica
OrašjeJedinstvo Bihać
Slaven Živinice
Radnik Hadžići
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Jedinstvo Bihać host Bratstvo Gračanica on Sunday, 16 November 2025 at 12:30. The match is part of the 1st League - FBiH 2019/2020 season.
Match Recap: Jedinstvo Bihać vs Bratstvo Gračanica
Jedinstvo Bihać beat Bratstvo Gračanica 1-0 in 1st League - FBiH on November 16, 2025.
The match was played at Stadion Pod Borićima in Bihać.