Jecheon Citizen 0–0 Haman: Result & Stats

Jecheon Citizen

FT

0 – 0

Haman

5/9/2026

K4 League · Round 10

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Jecheon Citizen35%

×Draw28%

Haman37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Jecheon CitizenExpected goals in this matchHaman

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.17

1.21

Jecheon Citizen

1.17

Haman

1.21

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

1.00

creates per match

1.00

1.43

allows per match

1.33

creates per match

Jecheon Citizen

1.00

Haman

1.00

allows per match

Jecheon Citizen

1.43

Haman

1.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jecheon Citizen+0.00on par

Haman+0.00on par

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jecheon Citizen ↓

Haman →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

42%58%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Jecheon Citizen or draw

63%

Jecheon Citizen or Haman

72%

Draw or Haman

65%

Winning margin

Jecheon Citizen wins by 2+

15%

Haman wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Jecheon Citizen 1+ goals

69%

Jecheon Citizen 2+ goals

33%

Jecheon Citizen 3+ goals

11%

Haman 1+ goals

70%

Haman 2+ goals

34%

Haman 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Jecheon Citizen (draw refunded)

49%

Haman (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jecheon Citizen at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

Haman away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jecheon Citizen attack 1.00 + Haman defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.17

Haman attack 1.00 + Jecheon Citizen defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Jecheon Citizen scores more

35%

level

28%

Haman scores more

37%

Haman at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Haman will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff