Jamshedpur 1–0 Inter Kashi: Result & Stats

Jamshedpur

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Inter Kashi

S. Eze 57'

3/6/2026

Indian Super League · Round 4JRD Tata Sports Complex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Jamshedpur50%

×Draw31%

Inter Kashi19%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

JamshedpurExpected goals in this matchInter Kashi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.17

0.61

Jamshedpur

1.17

Inter Kashi

0.61

Jamshedpur creates 92% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 9 away

1.22

creates per match

0.78

0.44

allows per match

1.11

creates per match

Jamshedpur

1.22

Inter Kashi

0.78

allows per match

Jamshedpur

0.44

Inter Kashi

1.11

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jamshedpur+0.00on par

Inter Kashi+0.00on par

Total goals

Under74
Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No69
Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jamshedpur ↓

Inter Kashi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–017%

0–110%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–020%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–17%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

83%17%1.5

53%47%2.5

26%74%3.5

11%89%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Jamshedpur or draw

81%

Jamshedpur or Inter Kashi

69%

Draw or Inter Kashi

50%

Winning margin

Jamshedpur wins by 2+

22%

Inter Kashi wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Jamshedpur 1+ goals

69%

Jamshedpur 2+ goals

33%

Jamshedpur 3+ goals

11%

Inter Kashi 1+ goals

46%

Inter Kashi 2+ goals

13%

Inter Kashi 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Jamshedpur (draw refunded)

72%

Inter Kashi (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

19%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jamshedpur at home — creates 1.22, concedes 0.44 · 9 matches

Inter Kashi away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jamshedpur attack 1.22 + Inter Kashi defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.17

Inter Kashi attack 0.78 + Jamshedpur defence 0.44 → ÷2 → 0.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Jamshedpur scores more

50%

level

31%

Inter Kashi scores more

19%

Jamshedpur at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Jamshedpur will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

66

S. Eze

Jamshedpur · D

8.7

Match Events

9'

19'

34'

48'

55'

57'

S. Eze↳ M. Talal

62'

A. Jha← S. Mandi

81'

R. Tachikawa← N. Stojanovic

81'

R. Gabriel← M. K. Sanan

81'

A. Khan← R. Danu

83'

Mark Zothanpuia

83'

Mohammed Asif Khan

88'

M. Singh← P. Halder

88'

L. Cirkovic← R. Messi Bouli

90+3'

Manvir Singh

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

JamshedpurInter

Overview

41%Possession59%

10Total Shots16

1.36Expected Goals (xG)1.41

1Corners6

7Fouls11

Shots

10Total Shots16

2On Target3

5Off Target8

3Blocked5

7Inside Box9

3Outside Box7

Passing

41%Possession59%

325Total Passes458

241Accurate Passes379

74%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

7Fouls11

4Yellow Cards3

1Red Cards0

4Offsides0