Jamshedpur 0–1 Hyderabad: Result & Stats

Jamshedpur

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Hyderabad

M. Yasir 48'

11/9/2022

Indian Super League · Round 6JRD Tata Sports Complex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

Jamshedpur41%

×Draw26%

Hyderabad33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

JamshedpurExpected goals in this matchHyderabad

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

1.27

Jamshedpur

1.43

Hyderabad

1.27

Jamshedpur creates 13% more chances

Season form · 73 home / 63 away

1.40

creates per match

1.25

1.30

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Jamshedpur

1.40

Hyderabad

1.25

allows per match

Jamshedpur

1.30

Hyderabad

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jamshedpur+0.00on par

Hyderabad+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jamshedpur ↓

Hyderabad →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Jamshedpur or draw

67%

Jamshedpur or Hyderabad

74%

Draw or Hyderabad

59%

Winning margin

Jamshedpur wins by 2+

19%

Hyderabad wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Jamshedpur 1+ goals

76%

Jamshedpur 2+ goals

42%

Jamshedpur 3+ goals

17%

Hyderabad 1+ goals

72%

Hyderabad 2+ goals

36%

Hyderabad 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Jamshedpur (draw refunded)

55%

Hyderabad (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jamshedpur at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.30 · 73 matches

Hyderabad away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.46 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jamshedpur attack 1.40 + Hyderabad defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.43

Hyderabad attack 1.25 + Jamshedpur defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Jamshedpur scores more

41%

level

26%

Hyderabad scores more

33%

Jamshedpur at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Jamshedpur will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4

C. Singh

Hyderabad · D

7.3

Match Events

25'

F. Choudhary← P. Laldinpuia

34'

Akash Mishra

38'

Anuj Kumar← L. Kattimani

45+4'

Harrison Sawyer

46'

Borja Herrera← Javi Siverio

48'

M. Yasir

55'

M. Uvais← L. Renthlei

74'

I. Pandita← H. Sawyer

74'

Wellington← J. Emmanuel-Thomas

75'

S. Tavora← H. Sharma

84'

Anuj Kumar

87'

Mohammad Yasir

87'

J. Chianese← B. Ogbeche

87'

A. D'Silva← M. Yasir

90+1'

Peter Hartley

90+5'

João Victor

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

JamshedpurHyderabad

Overview

34%Possession66%

9Total Shots12

4Corners5

11Fouls9

Shots

9Total Shots12

3On Target2

4Off Target4

2Blocked6

5Inside Box9

4Outside Box3

Passing

34%Possession66%

237Total Passes464

157Accurate Passes372

66%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

11Fouls9

2Yellow Cards4

3Offsides1