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Jahn Regensburg II vs Eintracht Bamberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Jahn Regensburg II
Jahn Regensburg II
Preview
15:00
Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
3/6/2027Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 22
42%
Jahn Regensburg II
model favours
42%23%35%

Eintracht Bamberg have won 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
65%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Jahn Regensburg II42%
×Draw23%
Eintracht Bamberg35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jahn Regensburg II
1.75
Eintracht Bamberg
1.56

Jahn Regensburg II creates 12% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 33 away

creates per match

Jahn Regensburg II
2.22
Eintracht Bamberg
1.70

allows per match

Jahn Regensburg II
1.43
Eintracht Bamberg
1.27

finishing

Jahn Regensburg II+0.00on par
Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jahn Regensburg II ↓

Eintracht Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Jahn Regensburg II or draw
65%
Jahn Regensburg II or Eintracht Bamberg
77%
Draw or Eintracht Bamberg
58%

Winning margin

Jahn Regensburg II wins by 2+
22%
Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Jahn Regensburg II 1+ goals
83%
Jahn Regensburg II 2+ goals
52%
Jahn Regensburg II 3+ goals
25%
Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
79%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
46%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Jahn Regensburg II (draw refunded)
55%
Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jahn Regensburg II at home — creates 2.22, concedes 1.43 · 68 matches

Eintracht Bamberg away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.27 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jahn Regensburg II attack 2.22 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.75

Eintracht Bamberg attack 1.70 + Jahn Regensburg II defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Jahn Regensburg II scores more
42%
level
23%
Eintracht Bamberg scores more
35%

Jahn Regensburg II at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Jahn Regensburg II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Eintracht Bamberg raise their game against the top half — 56% wins vs the upper half, only 50% vs the lower
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 4 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
DLLW
Bamberg
LWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Jahn Regensburg II host Eintracht Bamberg

March 6, 2027: Jahn Regensburg II take on Eintracht Bamberg in Oberliga - Bayern Nord. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.