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Jahn Regensburg II vs 1. SC Feucht — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Jahn Regensburg II
Jahn Regensburg II
FT
6 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
1. SC Feucht
1. SC Feucht
K. Massinger 83'
A. Amadou 72', 45'
J. Graf 60'
A. Bajric 42'
K. Onuigwe 11'
4/20/2024Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 33Sportpark am Kaulbachweg

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Jahn Regensburg II60%
×Draw19%
1. SC Feucht21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jahn Regensburg II
2.42
1. SC Feucht
1.40

Jahn Regensburg II creates 73% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 35 away

creates per match

Jahn Regensburg II
2.22
1. SC Feucht
1.37

allows per match

Jahn Regensburg II
1.43
1. SC Feucht
2.63

finishing

Jahn Regensburg II+0.00on par
1. SC Feucht+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jahn Regensburg II ↓

1. SC Feucht →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Jahn Regensburg II or draw
79%
Jahn Regensburg II or 1. SC Feucht
81%
Draw or 1. SC Feucht
40%

Winning margin

Jahn Regensburg II wins by 2+
38%
1. SC Feucht wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Jahn Regensburg II 1+ goals
91%
Jahn Regensburg II 2+ goals
69%
Jahn Regensburg II 3+ goals
43%
1. SC Feucht 1+ goals
75%
1. SC Feucht 2+ goals
41%
1. SC Feucht 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Jahn Regensburg II (draw refunded)
74%
1. SC Feucht (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jahn Regensburg II at home — creates 2.22, concedes 1.43 · 68 matches

1. SC Feucht away — creates 1.37, concedes 2.63 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jahn Regensburg II attack 2.22 + 1. SC Feucht defence 2.63 → ÷2 → 2.42

1. SC Feucht attack 1.37 + Jahn Regensburg II defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Jahn Regensburg II scores more
60%
level
19%
1. SC Feucht scores more
21%

Jahn Regensburg II at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Jahn Regensburg II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'
K. Onuigwe
42'
A. Bajric
45'
A. Amadou
60'
J. Graf
72'
A. Amadou
83'
K. Massinger

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Bayern Nord: Jahn Regensburg II 6–0 1. SC Feucht

Jahn Regensburg II beat 1. SC Feucht 6-0 in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on April 20, 2024.

Goals: K. Onuigwe (11'), A. Bajric (42'), A. Amadou (45', 72'), J. Graf (60'), K. Massinger (83').

The match was played at Sportpark am Kaulbachweg in Regensburg.