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Ivory Coast W vs Benin W — Friendlies Women 2026

Ivory Coast W
Ivory Coast W
FT
2 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Benin W
Benin W
I. Konan 29'
G. Sery 18'
R. Gandonou 60' (pen)
2/28/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International Women

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Ivory Coast W73%
×Draw17%
Benin W10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ivory Coast W
2.38
Benin W
0.77

Ivory Coast W creates 209% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 7 away

creates per match

Ivory Coast W
2.33
Benin W
1.43

allows per match

Ivory Coast W
0.11
Benin W
2.43

finishing

Ivory Coast W+0.00on par
Benin W+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ivory Coast W ↓

Benin W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–14%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Ivory Coast W or draw
90%
Ivory Coast W or Benin W
83%
Draw or Benin W
27%

Winning margin

Ivory Coast W wins by 2+
50%
Benin W wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Ivory Coast W 1+ goals
91%
Ivory Coast W 2+ goals
68%
Ivory Coast W 3+ goals
42%
Benin W 1+ goals
54%
Benin W 2+ goals
18%
Benin W 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Ivory Coast W (draw refunded)
88%
Benin W (draw refunded)
12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ivory Coast W at home — creates 2.33, concedes 0.11 · 9 matches

Benin W away — creates 1.43, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ivory Coast W attack 2.33 + Benin W defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 2.38

Benin W attack 1.43 + Ivory Coast W defence 0.11 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Ivory Coast W scores more
73%
level
17%
Benin W scores more
10%

Ivory Coast W at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Ivory Coast W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'
G. Sery
29'
I. Konan
60'
R. GandonouPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Ivory Coast W 2–1 Benin W

Ivory Coast W beat Benin W 2-1 in Friendlies Women on February 28, 2026.

Goals: G. Sery (18'), I. Konan (29'), R. Gandonou (60' pen).