Israel U19 6–0 Albania U19: Result & Stats

Israel U19

FT

6 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Albania U19

R. Magor 75'

L. Hazan 55' (pen), 18'

I. Oli 52'

E. Khalaili 28'

K. Zoabi 4'

11/13/2024

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 4Elbasan Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Israel U1972%

×Draw17%

Albania U1911%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Israel U19Expected goals in this matchAlbania U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.37

0.79

Israel U19

2.37

Albania U19

0.79

Israel U19 creates 200% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 10 away

1.94

creates per match

0.40

1.19

allows per match

2.80

creates per match

Israel U19

1.94

Albania U19

0.40

allows per match

Israel U19

1.19

Albania U19

2.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Israel U19+0.00on par

Albania U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Israel U19 ↓

Albania U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–18%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–010%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–14%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Israel U19 or draw

89%

Israel U19 or Albania U19

83%

Draw or Albania U19

28%

Winning margin

Israel U19 wins by 2+

49%

Albania U19 wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Israel U19 1+ goals

91%

Israel U19 2+ goals

68%

Israel U19 3+ goals

42%

Albania U19 1+ goals

55%

Albania U19 2+ goals

19%

Albania U19 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Israel U19 (draw refunded)

87%

Albania U19 (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Israel U19 at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.19 · 16 matches

Albania U19 away — creates 0.40, concedes 2.80 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Israel U19 attack 1.94 + Albania U19 defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.37

Albania U19 attack 0.40 + Israel U19 defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Israel U19 scores more

72%

level

17%

Albania U19 scores more

11%

Israel U19 at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Israel U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

4'

18'

28'

35'

37'

D. Vranici

46'

Y. Balay← K. Zoabi

46'

E. Arifi← R. Hasani

46'

K. Shpuza← D. Vraniçi

50'

F. Perndreca

51'

A. Kurti

52'

I. Oli

54'

K. Shpuza

55'

L. HazanPenalty

56'

J. Shibli← Y. Peretz

56'

Y. Ranon← L. Hazan

57'

F. Tosku

59'

E. Ehud

59'

R. Magor← I. Ehud-Zaira

62'

E. Bode← A. Dama

62'

K. Kashari← F. Tosku

66'

D. Tishler← E. Khalaili

68'

E. Bakiu← A. Kurti

75'

R. Magor

Israel

Albania

12

Taho

4

▼

Kurti

3

Përndreca

5

▼

Dama

14

Prendi

6

Jaku

8

▼

Vraniçi

7

▼

Hasani

9

Sulejmani

10

▼

11

1

4

5

2

13

6

▼

Ehud-Zair

10

⚽2

▼

Hazan

8

⚽

Oli

11

⚽

▼

Zoabi

7

⚽

▼

Khalaili

12

▼

Peretz

Manager: O. Haim

46'▲Y. Balay←▼K. Zoabi

56'▲J. Shibli←▼Y. Peretz

56'▲Y. Ranon←▼L. Hazan

59'▲R. Magor←▼I. Ehud-Zaira

66'▲D. Tishler←▼E. Khalaili

Israel U19 substitutes

19Balay17Shibli16Ranon15Magor3Tishler20Much14Banay18Cohen9Farkhi

Manager: J. Ahmati

46'▲E. Arifi←▼R. Hasani

46'▲K. Shpuza←▼D. Vraniçi

62'▲E. Bode←▼A. Dama

62'▲K. Kashari←▼F. Tosku

68'▲E. Bakiu←▼A. Kurti

Albania U19 substitutes

18Arifi2Shpuza20Bode17Kashari13Bakiu1Dervishaj16Belloj19Marinaj15Marinaj

Match Recap: Israel U19 vs Albania U19

Israel U19 beat Albania U19 6-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 13, 2024.

Goals: K. Zoabi (4'), L. Hazan (18', 55' pen), E. Khalaili (28'), I. Oli (52'), R. Magor (75').

The match was played at Elbasan Arena in Elbasan.

Israel U19 vs Albania U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Israel U19 vs Albania U19