Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ismaily SC vs Pyramids FC — League Cup 2021

Ismaily SC
Ismaily SC
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC
3/23/2025League CupLeague Cup · Group Stage - 2Ismaïlia Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Ismaily SC46%
×Draw25%
Pyramids FC29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ismaily SC
1.54
Pyramids FC
1.16

Ismaily SC creates 33% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 9 away

creates per match

Ismaily SC
1.08
Pyramids FC
0.89

allows per match

Ismaily SC
1.42
Pyramids FC
2.00

finishing

Ismaily SC+0.00on par
Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ismaily SC ↓

Pyramids FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
28%72%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Ismaily SC or draw
71%
Ismaily SC or Pyramids FC
75%
Draw or Pyramids FC
54%

Winning margin

Ismaily SC wins by 2+
23%
Pyramids FC wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Ismaily SC 1+ goals
79%
Ismaily SC 2+ goals
45%
Ismaily SC 3+ goals
20%
Pyramids FC 1+ goals
69%
Pyramids FC 2+ goals
32%
Pyramids FC 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Ismaily SC (draw refunded)
62%
Pyramids FC (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ismaily SC at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.42 · 12 matches

Pyramids FC away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ismaily SC attack 1.08 + Pyramids FC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.54

Pyramids FC attack 0.89 + Ismaily SC defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Ismaily SC scores more
46%
level
25%
Pyramids FC scores more
29%

Ismaily SC at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Ismaily SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ismaily SC vs Pyramids FC

Ismaily SC and Pyramids FC drew 2-2 in League Cup on March 23, 2025.

The match was played at Ismaïlia Stadium in Ismailia.