Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Internacional U17 vs Fortaleza U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

Internacional U17
Internacional U17
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Fortaleza U17
Fortaleza U17
Raykkonen 59'
Victor Hugo 36'
Gabriel 31'
7/1/2025Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · 1st Phase - 8Estádio Morada dos Quero-Queros

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Internacional U1750%
×Draw24%
Fortaleza U1726%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Internacional U17
1.73
Fortaleza U17
1.18

Internacional U17 creates 47% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 18 away

creates per match

Internacional U17
1.41
Fortaleza U17
0.83

allows per match

Internacional U17
1.53
Fortaleza U17
2.06

finishing

Internacional U17+0.00on par
Fortaleza U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 56Under: 4456%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 57No: 4357%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Internacional U17 ↓

Fortaleza U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Internacional U17 or draw
74%
Internacional U17 or Fortaleza U17
76%
Draw or Fortaleza U17
50%

Winning margin

Internacional U17 wins by 2+
27%
Fortaleza U17 wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Internacional U17 1+ goals
82%
Internacional U17 2+ goals
52%
Internacional U17 3+ goals
25%
Fortaleza U17 1+ goals
69%
Fortaleza U17 2+ goals
33%
Fortaleza U17 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Internacional U17 (draw refunded)
66%
Fortaleza U17 (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Internacional U17 at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.53 · 17 matches

Fortaleza U17 away — creates 0.83, concedes 2.06 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Internacional U17 attack 1.41 + Fortaleza U17 defence 2.06 → ÷2 → 1.73

Fortaleza U17 attack 0.83 + Internacional U17 defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Internacional U17 scores more
50%
level
24%
Fortaleza U17 scores more
26%

Internacional U17 at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Internacional U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

31'
Gabriel
36'
Victor Hugo
59'
Raykkonen

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Internacional U17 3 – 0 Fortaleza U17

Internacional U17 beat Fortaleza U17 3-0 in Brasileiro U17 on July 1, 2025.

Goals: Gabriel (31'), Victor Hugo (36'), Raykkonen (59').

The match was played at Estádio Morada dos Quero-Queros in Alvorada, Rio Grande do Sul.